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Flames at Ducks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
1
FinalTV BSW, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Stecher's goal at 16:50 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 43, ANA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.2 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 38 of 43 (.884), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (3 A), 2. Noah Hanifin (1 A), 3. MacKenzie Weegar.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    T. Toffoli3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY217112214543
ANAANA0711102120

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    N. Ritchie(12)
    N. Hanifin (28), D. Dube (23)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    0:37
  2. CGY
    T. Stecher(1)
    J. Huberdeau (34), B. Coleman (18)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:50

2nd period

  1. CGY
    R. Andersson(11)PPG
    T. Toffoli (34), M. Backlund (31)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    2:36
  2. ANA
    F. Vatrano(17)PPG
    J. Silfverberg (13), M. Comtois (9)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    7:26

3rd period

  1. CGY
    E. Lindholm(21)PPG
    T. Toffoli (35), M. Backlund (32)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    0:46
  2. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(14)
    T. Toffoli (36)
    wristxG 0.18
    5-1
    15:26

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:44ANATroy Terry · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 18:59CGYWalker Duehr · Roughingdrawn by Colton White2 min

2nd

  • 2:12ANAJakob Silfverberg · High stickingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 5:46CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 16:55CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 19:19ANAserved by M. McTavish · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:27ANASimon Benoit · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 19:25ANAMaxime Comtois · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalCGY goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Troy Stecher, 1st 16:50 — CGY 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.33F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.17N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.15D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.13F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.10N. Nesterenko · Missed · xG 0.10R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.06I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.04N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · Missed · xG 0.01D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsANA
4.05 G
All situations
1 G2.2
3.23 G
Even strength
0 G1.6
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY78%22%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.99 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsANA
43
Shots on goal
20
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/5
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
9
9
Blocked shots
7
7
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000+110.06020—22:51
16N. ZadorovD000+130.10000—21:18
4R. AnderssonD101+130.09002—20:50
55N. HanifinD011+110.03020—20:11
11M. BacklundC022+140.670005519:31
28E. LindholmC101+130.170105617:27
29D. DubeC011+130.2900010016:44
91N. KadriC000+130.222004216:33
51T. StecherD101+130.18000—16:03
27N. RitchieL101+110.24300—15:27
88A. MangiapaneL101+130.45212—15:18
20B. ColemanL011+120.1701010014:50
10J. HuberdeauL011+120.27000—14:32
73T. ToffoliC033+150.58000013:50
48D. GilbertD000+110.01320—13:38
22T. LewisC000010.011005812:11
71W. DuehrR000030.27002—11:40
17M. LucicL000010.19200—11:26
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)20191.9502.20+1.2060:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).