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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
FinalTV BSSUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 16:58 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.0 to 2.2; shots on goal were TBL 33, MTL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (31 saves, .939), 2. Mike Matheson (1 G), 3. Kirby Dach (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Matheson1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    K. Dach1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL010113110233
MTLMTL2101604320

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    K. Dach(13)
    N. Suzuki (33)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:27
  2. MTL
    J. Drouin(2)
    D. Gurianov (9), J. Barron (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    14:00

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(44)PPG
    S. Stamkos (42), M. Sergachev (47)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    8:58
  2. MTL
    M. Matheson(8)
    D. Savard (16), N. Suzuki (34)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    16:58

3rd period

  1. TBL
    P. Maroon(3)
    R. Colton (13), C. Perry (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    2-3
    14:54

Penalties

TBL 6 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:11TBLBrandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 15:49MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

2nd

  • 8:30MTLDenis Gurianov · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 13:08MTLMichael Pezzetta · Roughingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 13:08TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 20:00TBLVictor Hedman · Holdingdrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, 2nd 16:58 — MTL 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.36K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.21A. Belzile · Missed · xG 0.16A. Belzile · Missed · xG 0.15R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.12N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.12R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.08R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.05K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.01C. Wideman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Belzile · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01
MTL3 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
3.02 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL65%35%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
33
Shots on goal
20
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-220.07110—23:56
77V. HedmanD000-120.04102—23:16
21B. PointC101-240.400006720:08
86N. KucherovR000-220.36000—19:39
81E. CernakD000+120.05210—19:18
91S. StamkosC011030.220104718:28
48N. PerbixD000020.37010—18:09
17A. KillornL000-130.48010—17:56
28I. ColeD000+100.02000—17:27
38B. HagelL000-240.111125016:30
20N. PaulL000010.161007016:14
71A. CirelliC000-100.000105614:55
43D. RaddyshD000-310.03100—14:05
84T. JeannotL000-100.00200—12:01
14P. MaroonL101+110.10212—11:30
10C. PerryR011+110.21100—10:54
79R. ColtonC011+130.3130010010:27
23M. EyssimontC000020.101005009:52
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)20173.8502.19-0.8159:15

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).