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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Montréal Canadiens
1
FinalTV BSSUNX, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 11:39 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were TBL 27, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Hagel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (2 A), 3. Kaiden Guhle (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Hagel2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    K. Guhle1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL21121214527
MTLMTL0140415123

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(11)
    I. Cole (9), E. Cernak (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:57
  2. TBL
    N. Paul(13)
    N. Perbix (4), S. Stamkos (19)
    wristxG 0.50win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:39

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(1)PPG
    C. Perry (9), N. Kucherov (35)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    9:26
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(12)PPG
    V. Hedman (16), S. Stamkos (20)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    4-0
    17:47

3rd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(15)
    K. Guhle (11)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    0:16
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(12)
    B. Hagel (14)
    wristxG 0.20
    5-1
    18:01

Penalties

TBL 13 PIM·MTL 19 PIM

1st

  • 4:52MTLArber Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 4:52TBLPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj5 min
  • 8:10TBLCal Foote · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 17:55MTLRem Pitlick · High stickingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

2nd

  • 1:30MTLserved by J. Drouin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 5:02TBLCal Foote · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 7:20MTLMike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 8:46MTLJake Evans · High sticking double minordrawn by Brayden Point4 min
  • 14:05TBLErik Cernak · Interferencedrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 15:46MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 15:46TBLNick Paul · Slashingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 17:41MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 1st 11:39 — TBL 60% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.19J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.16J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.16M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.14C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.09C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.02K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL1 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
2.75 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL63%37%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
23
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/6
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
19
17
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28I. ColeD011+100.00110—23:17
77V. HedmanD011+140.19010—22:54
81E. CernakD011000.00442—19:13
38B. HagelL213+130.36000—18:55
86N. KucherovR112+130.37110—18:23
21B. PointC000+110.100002717:48
91S. StamkosC022+120.250004017:04
48N. PerbixD011+120.05100—16:31
71A. CirelliC101020.300004715:54
7H. FleuryD000020.02020—15:54
17A. KillornL000+110.06000—15:26
52C. FooteD000+110.04114—14:35
79R. ColtonC000020.0940010014:13
20N. PaulL101+110.502127113:50
10C. PerryR011000.04000—13:39
41P. BellemareL000010.151102512:56
90V. NamestnikovC000020.17100012:25
14P. MaroonL000000.00115—11:03
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)23221.9572.02+1.0260:00

Season series

TBL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).