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Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, TSN5·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 15:52 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 54% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.7 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 41, BOS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Mads Sogaard stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (40 saves, .976), 2. Jake DeBrusk (1 G), 3. Mads Sogaard (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Sogaard33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT11602104141
BOSBOS21101509235

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:55
  2. BOS
    D. Krejci(15)PPG
    snapxG 0.38win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    11:33
  3. BOS
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:52

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:02BOSMatt Grzelcyk · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 10:01OTTMark Kastelic · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 11:04OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

2nd

  • 15:32BOSserved by T. Bertuzzi · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 2:19OTTRidly Greig · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 8:59OTTJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 17:55BOSCharlie Coyle · Holdingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalOTT goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 1st 15:52 — BOS 54% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Krejci · Goal · xG 0.38D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.16T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.15D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.14D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.13G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.12P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.12D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.11J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.09T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 3.7 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsBOS
2.51 G
All situations
2 G3.7
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT31%69%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsBOS
41
Shots on goal
35
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
25
20
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000010.02030—25:06
19D. BathersonR000090.69000—21:51
18T. StützleC000-140.260026021:23
12A. DeBrincatR000030.36010—21:10
72T. ChabotD000010.06110—20:57
6J. ChychrunD000030.05222—20:10
7B. TkachukL000-160.285003319:41
23T. HamonicD000010.06240—19:28
28C. GirouxR000060.371005019:10
57S. PintoC000000.031106118:34
2A. ZubD000000.05210—17:27
27D. GambrellC101030.1412010013:58
26E. BrannstromD000000.00310—12:44
16A. WatsonL000020.02120—11:21
61D. BrassardC000+120.0810010009:23
17R. GreigC011+100.071024008:14
38P. BrownC000000.00210006:53
47M. KastelicC000000.004126706:27
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40M. Sogaard(L)35332.9433.66+1.6658:31

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).