Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 7-5. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 6-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 13:58 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 68% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were BOS 34, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 19 of 25 (.760), 3.3 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Tim Stützle (1 G, 2 A), 3. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A

- ★★T. Stützle1 G, 2 A

- ★★★P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
12 goals1st period
0-11:04
0-23:09
0-313:14
1-317:00
2nd period
2-30:28
3-31:30
3-411:57
3-513:58
3-616:29
4-617:55
5-619:45
3rd period
5-79:58
Penalties
1st
- 3:44
Trent Frederic · Boardingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
- 7:14
Drake Batherson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 19:18
Artem Zub · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
2nd
- 9:43
Parker Kelly · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
- 9:43
Connor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Parker Kelly5 min
- 19:39
Josh Norris · Roughingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
- 19:39
David Krejci · Roughingdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
3rd
- 8:03
David Pastrnak · Embellishmentdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
- 8:03
Travis Hamonic · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
- 13:16
Erik Brannstrom · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
- 18:07
Patrice Bergeron · Interferencedrawn by Josh Norris2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tim Stützle, 2nd 13:58 — 68% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.45 G
- All situations
- 7 G3.7
- 2.04 G
- Even strength
- 7 G3.3
- 1.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 3.70
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 15
- 23
- Hits
- 33
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 10
- Giveaways
- 11
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
5@
7this game
2@
3SOFinal
1@
3Final
1@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
