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Jets at Panthers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
Florida Panthers
4
Final/OTTV BSFLX, SNW·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Florida Panthers 5-4 in overtime, Mark Scheifele scoring at 4:31. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 4:31 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were WPG 27, FLA 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 44 of 48 (.917), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 1 A), 3. Vladislav Namestnikov (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    V. Namestnikov2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG391100612527
FLAFLA1191172804448

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(37)PPG
    B. Wheeler (32), K. Connor (44)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    6:43
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(6)
    N. Niederreiter (13), V. Namestnikov (12)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:03
  3. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(29)PPG
    B. Montour (42), C. Verhaeghe (25)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    16:44
  4. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(7)PPG
    N. Ehlers (20), K. Connor (45)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    19:07

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(23)PPG
    A. Barkov (38), M. Tkachuk (57)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    4:09
  2. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(8)
    N. Ehlers (21), B. Wheeler (33)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    12:59

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Staal(3)
    E. Staal (11), S. Reinhart (25)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    0:33
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(30)PPG
    A. Barkov (39), B. Montour (43)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +29 pts
    4-4
    6:24

Overtime

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(38)
    K. Connor (46), N. Schmidt (9)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    4:31

Penalties

WPG 12 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:42FLABrandon Montour · Cross checkingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 8:15WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 16:01WPGKyle Connor · Slashingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 17:26FLAAnton Lundell · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 19:07FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 2:55WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 6:10WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 5:46WPGLogan Stanley · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 5:46FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 6:14WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWPG goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, OT 4:31 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.27S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.25S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.22C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.22M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.21A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.19B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.19M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.15E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.14E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.13M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.11M. Staal · Goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Mahura · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01
FLA4 G · 5.1 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsFLA
2.75 G
All situations
4 G5.1
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G3.2
0.62 G
Power play
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG19%81%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 4.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
48
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/3
Power play
3/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
37
19
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. PionkD000020.33320—27:32
5B. DillonD000010.01110—21:54
88N. SchmidtD011+110.01120—21:03
2D. DeMeloD000+100.00312—20:56
81K. ConnorL033+130.34102—19:47
55M. ScheifeleC202+130.481104819:36
7V. NamestnikovC213+230.462244017:59
62N. NiederreiterR011+140.27100—17:30
26B. WheelerR022+100.001005617:18
44J. MorrisseyD000+100.03122—16:40
17A. LowryC000-100.003304016:06
27N. EhlersL123+220.09000—15:29
22M. AppletonC000-130.27200015:14
64L. StanleyD000000.02212—13:47
36M. BarronC000-110.17200013:37
28K. StenlundC000030.141103311:23
8S. MaenalanenR000000.00430—11:09
19D. GustafssonC000010.1420010008:48
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)48444.9175.06+1.0664:09

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).