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Panthers at Jets
NHL

Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
FinalTV BSFL, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 1:43 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 41, WPG 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 14 of 15 (.933); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G), 2. Kyle Connor (2 G, 1 A), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Dubois3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA1702519241
WPGWPG2142819531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(14)PPG
    P. Dubois (12), J. Morrissey (22)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    13:20
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(15)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (23), B. Montour (17)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    14:11
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(9)
    P. Dubois (13), B. Dillon (5)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    14:28

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(10)
    P. Dubois (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    1:43
  2. WPG
    M. Scheifele(15)PPG
    K. Connor (16), N. Schmidt (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    13:23

3rd period

  1. FLA
    Z. Dalpe(1)
    C. Tierney (1), M. Kiersted (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    9:02
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(5)EN
    D. Samberg (2)
    wristxG 0.67win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    16:59

Penalties

FLA 13 PIM·WPG 13 PIM

1st

  • 8:20FLABrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 12:34FLASam Bennett · High stickingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 13:38WPGBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:03FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min

2nd

  • 8:50WPGNeal Pionk · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min
  • 8:50FLANick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Neal Pionk5 min
  • 11:25FLAJosh Mahura · Boardingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 13:59WPGDylan Samberg · Interferencedrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 18:55WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min

3rd

  • 2:38WPGMichael Eyssimont · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalFLA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, 2nd 1:43 — WPG 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.67M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.36B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.22M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.18C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.18M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.17M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.16S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.16P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.15B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.14B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.11S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.10M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.06K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.06D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 4.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWPG
2.92 G
All situations
4 G4.2
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA40%60%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 3.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWPG
41
Shots on goal
31
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/4
Power play
2/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
15
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-120.10210—26:47
62B. MontourD011-340.13002—23:03
42G. ForslingD000-230.14020—22:05
19M. TkachukL011-120.30002—20:37
23C. VerhaegheC101-180.55210019:25
13S. ReinhartC000-130.560201019:03
9S. BennettC000-140.293025418:44
28J. MahuraD000020.03202—17:27
18M. StaalD000+100.02110—17:06
12E. StaalC000-160.271005016:59
27E. LuostarinenC000-100.001002515:36
21N. CousinsC000-110.01015013:28
3M. KierstedD011+110.12000—12:59
94R. LombergL000-120.11000—12:52
6C. WhiteC000-120.133002512:44
22Z. DalpeC101010.120204009:03
20A. HeponiemiC000+100.00000008:26
71C. TierneyC011+100.00000006:56
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky15141.9331.49+0.4938:13
30S. Knight(L)15123.8002.03-0.9721:43

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).