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Blackhawks at Lightning
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV BSSUNX, NBCSCH·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 19:00 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were CHI 23, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Brian Elliott stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Point (2 G), 2. Brian Elliott (22 saves, .957), 3. Petr Mrazek (34 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Elliott22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek34 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0401019123
TBLTBL07115215337

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(42)
    V. Hedman (37), M. Sergachev (40)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    6:21

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Raddysh(17)
    C. Guttman (2), T. Johnson (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    5:23
  2. TBL
    B. Point(43)
    N. Kucherov (69), M. Sergachev (41)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +42 pts
    1-2
    19:00
  3. TBL
    B. Hagel(23)EN
    A. Killorn (31)
    wristxG 0.55win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    19:58

Penalties

CHI 7 PIM·TBL 9 PIM

1st

  • 15:52CHITaylor Raddysh · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:28TBLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 18:49TBLTanner Jeannot · Hookingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min

3rd

  • 16:31TBLErik Cernak · Fightingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira5 min
  • 16:31CHIJujhar Khaira · Fightingdrawn by Erik Cernak5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCHI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 3rd 19:00 — TBL 52% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.55B. Point · Goal · xG 0.33B. Point · Missed · xG 0.19A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.15N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.12A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.10M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.09R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.08N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · Goal · xG 0.07I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · Missed · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsTBL
2.31 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI30%70%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsTBL
23
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
36
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-200.08400—27:26
82C. JonesD000-210.03220—23:49
23P. KurashevC000-100.061101419:12
48F. RoosD000+110.01230—18:43
27L. ReichelL000-130.27000—17:57
58M. EntwistleR000-120.32210—17:18
89A. AthanasiouC000-120.070102517:11
51I. MitchellD000+110.04300—17:00
11T. RaddyshR101030.26202—16:22
22N. ZaitsevD000-110.04210—15:44
90T. JohnsonC011-140.6321010015:06
25J. TinordiD000-100.00310—15:03
17J. DickinsonC000-110.054006714:40
70C. GuttmanC011010.121004614:12
39L. PhilpC000-100.001002513:59
16J. KhairaL000000.133056711:50
14B. KatchoukL000010.00200—11:49
15J. AndersonR000020.16230—11:19
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)36342.9443.52+1.5259:20

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).