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Lightning at Blackhawks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
1
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSUN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Lightning answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 7:11 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 48% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were TBL 29, CHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Alex Stalock stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Maroon (1 G), 2. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brian Elliott (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    P. Maroon1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Elliott25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL16013310429
CHICHI1120608126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    S. Jones(2)PPG
    T. Raddysh (5), M. Domi (14)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    4:50
  2. TBL
    P. Maroon(2)
    V. Hedman (23)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:24

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(12)
    B. Hagel (15)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +30 pts
    2-1
    7:11
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(15)PPG
    B. Point (17), S. Stamkos (25)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    10:14
  3. TBL
    N. Paul(14)EN
    P. Bellemare (3), V. Hedman (24)
    backhandxG 0.44win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    18:54

Penalties

TBL 12 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:55TBLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 7:37TBLIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Jonathan Toews2 min
  • 15:41TBLZach Bogosian · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:16CHIConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

2nd

  • 13:07TBLIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
  • 14:03CHIPatrick Kane · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 16:36CHIReese Johnson · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

3rd

  • 9:48CHIBoris Katchouk · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 11:03TBLAlex Killorn · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Stalock2 min
  • 11:03CHIAlex Stalock · Interferencedrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 17:52TBLBrandon Hagel · Holdingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalTBL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 3rd 7:11 — TBL 48% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.51S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.19I. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.16T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.16C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.10R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.07C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lafferty · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02I. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.00P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.00R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCHI
4.03 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.92 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL75%25%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCHI
29
Shots on goal
26
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
11
Hits
18
20
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000+240.15030—25:04
77V. HedmanD022+210.01030—23:59
81E. CernakD000000.00200—21:43
28I. ColeD000010.02156—20:07
86N. KucherovR000010.27100—19:37
20N. PaulL101+230.510105018:42
21B. PointC011030.510105018:16
38B. HagelL112+130.49012—18:13
71A. CirelliC000+100.140104715:23
91S. StamkosC011010.180003315:09
79R. ColtonC000+120.29310013:02
17A. KillornL101+150.84002—12:54
24Z. BogosianD000+200.00202—12:48
48N. PerbixD000000.00100—12:17
14P. MaroonL101+130.33000—12:15
41P. BellemareL011+120.221201710:34
90V. NamestnikovC000000.0001010010:04
10C. PerryR000000.04010—08:58
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1B. Elliott(W)26251.9622.08+1.0860:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).