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Flyers at Penguins
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV SN1·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kieffer Bellows's goal at 10:04 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 33% to 46%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 32, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.4 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Casey DeSmith (31 saves, .969), 2. Jason Zucker (1 G), 3. Marcus Pettersson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Zucker1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    M. Pettersson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI11407011132
PITPIT16115311532

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(22)
    M. Pettersson (21), M. Granlund (28)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:52
  2. PHI
    K. Bellows(2)
    J. Braun (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:04

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(29)PPG
    J. Guentzel (31), K. Letang (22)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    1-2
    6:49

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Zucker(23)
    M. Pettersson (22), E. Malkin (45)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    14:24
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(27)EN
    J. Carter (15), B. Dumoulin (16)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:22
  3. PIT
    M. Granlund(10)
    D. Kulikov (13), J. Rutta (6)
    snapxG 0.12
    1-5
    19:04

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:37PHIScott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 6:11PHITyson Foerster · High sticking double minordrawn by Brian Dumoulin4 min
  • 15:27PITMikael Granlund · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min

3rd

  • 0:32PHICam York · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 6:17PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 11:57PITBryan Rust · Trippingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kieffer Bellows, 1st 10:04 — PHI 33% → 46%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.44J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.27S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.16R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.14J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.12M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
1.91 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI37%63%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
32
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
34
18
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-230.13100—24:06
55R. RistolainenD000-110.01210—22:56
45C. YorkD000-230.21022—21:56
6T. SanheimD000-120.03120—20:55
74O. TippettR000-180.66330—20:51
21S. LaughtonC000-130.260028618:49
48M. FrostC000-100.000103218:08
13K. HayesR000-130.071107317:52
86J. FarabeeL000-110.04200—17:42
52T. FoersterR000-200.12514—16:50
49N. CatesL000-110.050004215:51
24N. SeelerD000010.05030—14:15
61J. BraunD011010.01220—12:51
73E. DesnoyersL000-110.020003312:41
25J. van RiemsdykL000-120.19000—11:57
58T. LaczynskiC000010.0640010010:15
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00810—09:51
20K. BellowsL101010.02110—07:00
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)31274.8712.60-1.4058:36

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).