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Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV TNT, SN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 19:29 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 29, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Poehling (2 G), 2. Teddy Blueger (3 A), 3. Josh Archibald (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    R. Poehling2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    T. Blueger3 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Archibald1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT2152905429
PHIPHI0708115130

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:37
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:29

2nd period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +6 pts
    3-0
    2:59
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    4-0
    13:37

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    10:04

Penalties

PIT 11 PIM·PHI 15 PIM

1st

  • 14:12PITDanton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min
  • 15:30PHIIvan Provorov · Interferencedrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

2nd

  • 2:04PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson5 min
  • 2:04PITMarcus Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 6:25PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 6:25PHINick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 6:25PITBrock McGinn · Roughingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 19:19PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 19:19PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 7:17PITJeff Petry · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Zack MacEwen0 min
  • 18:08PHIPatrick Brown · High stickingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 1st 19:29 — PIT 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.18Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.18M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.17T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.11Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.10Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.09Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.09T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.07N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.06L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Cates · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.00K. Bellows · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00T. Laczynski · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
3.04 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.34 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT73%27%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
30
63%
Faceoffs
37%
0/3
Power play
0/1
11
Penalty minutes
15
28
Hits
42
10
Blocked shots
22
7
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+220.20200—23:57
26J. PetryD011+130.07130—22:34
8B. DumoulinD000000.02320—18:52
28M. PetterssonD011+200.00015—18:25
73P. JosephD000+100.01010—17:54
44J. RuttaD000010.02210—17:50
71E. MalkinC000040.480025017:14
59J. GuentzelC000+120.27110016:53
77J. CarterC000010.091009316:31
87S. CrosbyC101+150.411006215:32
17B. RustR000020.22100—15:31
16J. ZuckerL000000.13100—15:16
67R. RakellR000010.13300—15:08
23B. McGinnL000000.00202—13:56
43D. HeinenL000010.00202—13:27
53T. BluegerC033+220.342104313:10
15J. ArchibaldR112+320.31500—11:57
25R. PoehlingC202+230.25100011:53
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)30291.9671.68+0.6860:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).