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San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 2:53 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were SJS 34, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Binnington (32 saves, .941), 3. Torey Krug (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    STL
    T. Krug1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS11511108234
STLSTL1919212430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:23
  2. STL
    R. Thomas (39), J. Kyrou (32)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:31

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:06
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:31

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +25 pts
    2-3
    2:53
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(16)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    15:02

Penalties

SJS 8 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:56STLRobert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 14:15STLSammy Blais · Slashingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 15:03SJSAlexander Barabanov · Slashingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 1:21STLColton Parayko · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 6:39SJSSteven Lorentz · Hookingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 7:13STLKasperi Kapanen · Broken stick2 min

3rd

  • 14:07SJSFabian Zetterlund · Hookingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 17:06SJSErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSJS goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, 3rd 2:53 — STL 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Blais · Goal · xG 0.20J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.20J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.20J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15N. Alexandrov · Missed · xG 0.14T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.13J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.10C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.09N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.09J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08N. Alexandrov · Missed · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.07N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.06S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leivo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01
STL4 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsSTL
3.22 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS54%46%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsSTL
34
Shots on goal
30
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
12
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
8
19
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD101-160.47022—25:25
38M. FerraroD000+120.05520—22:24
72W. EklundL000-110.1611010022:17
48T. HertlC101-150.432107621:47
39L. CoutureC000+110.040005020:02
5M. BenningD000-110.08000—19:33
94A. BarabanovL022+120.19002—18:29
20F. ZetterlundL000-130.19102—17:44
44M. VlasicD000020.11010—16:41
55D. PouliotD000+110.04000—16:19
71N. KnyzhovD000-210.02020—16:17
18A. JohnssonL011+120.271102515:07
7N. SturmC000-100.031006714:01
16S. LorentzC000010.020025012:43
73N. GregorL000-130.72000—11:43
10E. SvechnikovL000-120.38100—09:37
23O. LindblomL000010.02000—08:51
62K. LabancR000000.01000—04:59
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36K. Kahkonen(L)30264.8672.98-1.0259:06

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).