Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 19:50 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were PIT 32, FLA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 38 of 42 (.905); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (31 saves, .969), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Bobrovsky31 saves, .969

- ★★A. Barkov2 A

- ★★★A. Ekblad1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-119:38
2nd period
0-24:11
1-28:51
1-319:50
3rd period
1-49:53
Penalties
1st
- 5:43
Aleksander Barkov · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
- 19:53
Danton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
2nd
- 2:50
Kris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
- 7:30
Anthony Duclair · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 8:00
Eric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 10:33
Evgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
- 12:52
Aaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
3rd
- 10:11
Jason Zucker · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
- 11:27
Bryan Rust · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
- 11:27
Brandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
- 13:58
Ryan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
- 13:58
Josh Archibald · Misconduct10 min
- 15:10
Drew O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
- 15:57
Aleksander Barkov · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
- 15:57
Marcus Pettersson · Misconduct10 min
- 15:57
Matthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 2nd 19:50 — 75% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.41 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.1
- 1.40 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.7
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.3
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 4.03
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 42
- 60%
- Faceoffs
- 40%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/5
- 32
- Penalty minutes
- 32
- 14
- Hits
- 23
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 10
- Giveaways
- 9
- 5
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-1
4@
2Final
6@
7OTFinal
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
