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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
6
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, BSFL·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 7-6 in overtime, Kris Letang scoring at 4:06. The Penguins came back from two goals down. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kris Letang's goal at 4:06 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.3 to 3.9; shots on goal were FLA 39, PIT 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 42 of 49 (.857), 2.6 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 33 of 39 (.846), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (2 G, 2 A), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA3171122802639
PITPIT31411521614749

Scoring

13 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(16)
    A. Ekblad (14), A. Barkov (29)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:42
  2. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(25)PPG
    B. Montour (33), A. Barkov (30)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    8:08
  3. PIT
    R. Rakell(18)
    E. Malkin (29), K. Letang (15)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    10:56
  4. PIT
    D. Heinen(4)
    R. Poehling (5), D. O'Connor (1)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    11:56
  5. PIT
    K. Letang(3)
    B. Dumoulin (10), D. Heinen (9)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    18:14
  6. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(24)
    A. Ekblad (15)
    pokexG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    3-3
    19:19

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(8)SHG
    S. Reinhart (22), M. Tkachuk (37)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +21 pts
    4-3
    10:34
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(23)PPG
    J. Guentzel (24), J. Petry (12)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    4-4
    19:19

3rd period

  1. FLA
    C. White(6)
    N. Cousins (12), R. Lomberg (6)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +27 pts
    5-4
    4:10
  2. PIT
    D. O'Connor(3)
    R. Poehling (6), D. Heinen (10)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +32 pts
    5-5
    10:29
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(17)PPG
    S. Crosby (33), K. Letang (16)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    5-6
    14:30
  4. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(25)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +40 pts
    6-6
    17:28

Overtime

  1. PIT
    K. Letang(4)PPG
    E. Malkin (30), S. Crosby (34)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +49 pts
    6-7
    4:06

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:43PITMarcus Pettersson · Holdingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 14:45PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

2nd

  • 5:02FLAEetu Luostarinen · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 9:24FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
  • 11:34PITJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Josh Mahura2 min
  • 18:28FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

3rd

  • 13:33FLANick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

OT

  • 3:26FLABrandon Montour · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Kris Letang, OT 4:06 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.25D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.23D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.20K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.19J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.18R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.17D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.11R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.11R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.11K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.11D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.11T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.08B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.07J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.06K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.02D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 4.3 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
3.96 G
All situations
7 G4.3
2.94 G
Even strength
4 G3.7
0.71 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 118 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA44%56%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.83 – 4.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
39
Shots on goal
49
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
27
28
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
16
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+240.12162—24:54
5A. EkbladD123+250.44200—24:04
16A. BarkovC022+140.210106023:48
19M. TkachukL112+350.75212—23:28
62B. MontourD011000.03102—22:28
15A. LundellC000050.22010019:59
13S. ReinhartC112+140.780005019:48
23C. VerhaegheC202+260.68110019:40
18M. StaalD000-100.02330—19:18
27E. LuostarinenC000+110.241422418:47
7R. GudasD000020.12420—17:57
28J. MahuraD000-110.06040—14:53
94R. LombergL011-100.00200—14:07
14G. DenisenkoL000-200.00110—10:10
71C. TierneyC000-200.063204010:01
6C. WhiteC101020.151002008:13
21N. CousinsC011-100.0012210008:01
54G. SmithR000000.00400—06:54
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(O)49427.8574.35-2.6564:06

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).