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Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
New York Islanders
▸4
FinalTV BSDET, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Islanders answered. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 4:39 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.6 to 1.1; shots on goal were DET 23, NYI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.4 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (2 G), 2. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zach Parise (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    Z. Parise1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0616011123
NYINYI01609411436

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(23)PPG
    M. Seider (28), R. Fabbri (9)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    18:59

3rd period

  1. NYI
    Z. Parise(16)
    S. Aho (13), K. Palmieri (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    1-1
    2:11
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(23)
    H. Fasching (5), C. Cizikas (11)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +26 pts
    1-2
    4:39
  3. NYI
    K. Palmieri(10)PPG
    N. Dobson (25), B. Nelson (34)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    15:41
  4. NYI
    A. Lee(24)
    J. Bailey (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:22

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:12NYINoah Dobson · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 18:34DETRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min

2nd

  • 10:15NYIBo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 18:25NYIBo Horvat · High stickingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

3rd

  • 15:17DETDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 4:39 — NYI 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.17B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.14K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.12R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.10B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.09S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06O. Koivula · On goal · xG 0.05B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.05M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.05P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.04P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.00H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00O. Koivula · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 2.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
1.11 G
All situations
4 G2.6
0.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET22%78%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.12 – 2.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
23
Shots on goal
36
32%
Faceoffs
68%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-120.05410—22:17
2O. MaattaD000-100.00310—21:55
8B. ChiarotD000-220.08010—20:35
96J. WalmanD000020.02020—19:09
71D. LarkinC101-220.150003118:13
18A. CoppC000000.021003317:19
82J. OesterleD000-100.00000—17:02
14R. FabbriC011-120.09302016:59
23L. RaymondL000-200.00010—16:55
57D. PerronL000-130.16002—16:08
52J. BerggrenR000010.08110—15:45
81D. KubalikL000010.04100—15:24
24P. SuterC000-110.021104015:21
11F. ZadinaR000040.19000—15:15
38R. HaggD000-100.01200—14:22
90J. VelenoC000010.061203813:36
73A. ErneL000-110.02010—11:17
48A. ChiassonR000-110.12100—10:41
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(L)36324.8892.62-1.3859:23

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).