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Islanders at Red Wings
NHL

New York Islanders at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
0
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
FinalTV BSDET, MSGSN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Islanders 3-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 12:51 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 68% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 24, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Ville Husso stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ville Husso (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Lucas Raymond (1 G), 3. Dominik Kubalik (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    V. Husso24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Kubalik1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0705012024
DETDET0132914326

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    L. Raymond(4)PPG
    D. Kubalik (9), D. Larkin (8)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    6:29
  2. DET
    P. Suter(2)SHG
    A. Erne (5), M. Seider (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    0-2
    12:51

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Kubalik(5)
    A. Copp (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    10:13

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·DET 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:13NYIserved by K. Palmieri · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 7:53NYIAlexander Romanov · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

2nd

  • 4:58NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 5:42NYIAdam Pelech · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 11:47DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 19:26DETFilip Hronek · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 4:32DETGustav Lindstrom · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 15:15NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalNYI goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 2nd 12:51 — DET 68% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.23L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.12L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.11P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.10L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.06P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.06P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03G. Lindstrom · Missed · xG 0.03A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.03M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.02J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.00J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.00P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.00M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDET
2.50 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.60 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI61%39%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDET
24
Shots on goal
26
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
24
6
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000010.02100—20:43
6R. PulockD000010.05130—20:39
3A. PelechD000010.01212—19:55
13M. BarzalC000-120.561008019:40
8N. DobsonD000-220.09120—19:30
28A. RomanovD000-100.00322—18:39
29B. NelsonC000-220.191004717:35
27A. LeeL000-220.32302—17:26
44J. PageauC000020.371006716:05
18A. BeauvillierR000-130.13000—16:04
11Z. PariseL000030.22300—15:01
25S. AhoD000010.08000—14:36
12J. BaileyR000000.000005014:25
53C. CizikasC000000.004006914:20
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.13610—13:36
21K. PalmieriC000-100.06200013:09
26O. WahlstromR000030.24112—12:10
17M. MartinL000000.00400—09:47
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)24222.9171.60-0.4048:56
30I. Sorokin211.5000.26-0.7408:13

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).