Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-4 in overtime, Jason Zucker scoring at 2:13. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 2:13 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 32, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Petry (2 G), 2. Jeff Carter (2 A), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
0-15:39
2nd period
1-16:06
2-16:31
2-29:39
3-215:06
3rd period
3-30:38
4-36:59
4-415:50
Overtime
5-42:13
Penalties
1st
- 7:27
Nick Perbix · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
- 14:21
Brandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min
2nd
- 9:10
Marcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
- 12:43
served by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 18:34
Kris Letang · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:38
Jeff Petry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
3rd
- 1:29
Alex Killorn · High stickingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
- 7:59
Evgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
- 10:04
Bryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
- 13:19
Patrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jason Zucker, OT 2:13 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.75 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.9
- 1.95 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/5
- Power play
- 2/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 28
- Hits
- 31
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 9
- Giveaways
- 7
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
