Skip to content
Penguins at Lightning
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning

Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-4 in overtime, Jason Zucker scoring at 2:13. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Zucker's goal at 2:13 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were PIT 32, TBL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Petry (2 G), 2. Jeff Carter (2 A), 3. Brayden Point (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Petry2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Carter2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    B. Point1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0133101811532
TBLTBL1811121101431

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:39

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:06
  2. PIT
    J. Carter (13), D. Heinen (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:31
  3. TBL
    B. Point(38)PPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    9:39
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    15:06

3rd period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(27)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    0:38
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +29 pts
    4-3
    6:59
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos (37), B. Point (34)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +40 pts
    4-4
    15:50

Overtime

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.06win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:13

Penalties

PIT 10 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:27TBLNick Perbix · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Carter2 min
  • 14:21TBLBrandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 9:10PITMarcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 12:43TBLserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:34PITKris Letang · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:38PITJeff Petry · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:29TBLAlex Killorn · High stickingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 7:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 10:04PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 13:19TBLPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPIT goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Zucker, OT 2:13 — PIT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.21S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.18N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.16B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.16N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · Goal · xG 0.14R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.14M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.11V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.11A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTBL
2.75 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.95 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.80 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT45%55%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
31
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/5
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
28
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD202+240.41522—25:43
67R. RakellR011+140.18000—22:52
59J. GuentzelC000040.39200022:28
71E. MalkinC000010.051123321:43
87S. CrosbyC011020.230005220:47
28M. PetterssonD022010.02222—19:53
8B. DumoulinD000020.01410—18:53
73P. JosephD000+310.13100—17:29
77J. CarterC022+230.200006116:23
64M. GranlundC000+100.001004016:16
16J. ZuckerL202+230.44000—16:05
44J. RuttaD000010.08310—15:51
17B. RustR000+110.09202—15:43
58K. LetangD011000.00212—12:37
43D. HeinenL011+130.25110—11:24
15J. ArchibaldR011000.00300—11:11
10D. O'ConnorL101020.160006008:51
18D. CaggiulaL000000.00100—04:01
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)31274.8712.91-1.0962:13

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).