Skip to content
Lightning at Penguins
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, BSSUN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Penguins led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 6:17 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 35% to 53%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.0, PIT 3.1; shots on goal were TBL 29, PIT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 29 of 36 (.806), 3.9 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brian Dumoulin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Teddy Blueger (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Dumoulin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    T. Blueger1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL2809112329
PITPIT11061907736

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(4)
    M. Pettersson (16), J. Petry (18)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:20
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(9)
    Z. Bogosian (3)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:06
  3. TBL
    N. Kucherov(23)
    B. Point (33), I. Cole (12)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    18:05

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(23)
    J. Archibald (4), B. Dumoulin (13)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    6:17
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(26)PPG
    J. Guentzel (28), K. Letang (19)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    15:28
  3. PIT
    T. Blueger(2)
    M. Pettersson (17), J. Petry (19)
    pokexG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    16:20
  4. PIT
    J. Carter(9)
    K. Letang (20)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    17:50
  5. PIT
    J. Zucker(16)
    E. Malkin (39), D. Heinen (11)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    18:37
  6. PIT
    B. Dumoulin(1)
    S. Crosby (45)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    2-7
    19:55

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(36)PPG
    N. Kucherov (62), M. Sergachev (33)
    wristxG 0.14
    3-7
    7:57

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:07TBLPatrick Maroon · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min
  • 17:30PITRickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

2nd

  • 4:11PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 15:06TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min

3rd

  • 6:43PITJosh Archibald · Slashingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalTBL goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 2nd 6:17 — PIT 35% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.24B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.21J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.19S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.18D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.17E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.17B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.13D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.12T. Blueger · Goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.03T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · Goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 3.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsPIT
3.03 G
All situations
7 G3.1
2.52 G
Even strength
6 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL46%54%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 3.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsPIT
29
Shots on goal
36
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-130.08010—22:32
98M. SergachevD011-110.13500—22:06
28I. ColeD011-110.02120—20:30
86N. KucherovR112-240.7610010019:10
21B. PointC112-230.434007518:52
38B. HagelL000-310.08120—18:21
48N. PerbixD000-130.09030—17:28
24Z. BogosianD011-100.00320—17:14
7H. FleuryD000-200.03110—16:53
71A. CirelliC101+130.331003616:32
91S. StamkosC000+120.121223315:43
20N. PaulL000-220.132004315:10
17A. KillornL000000.09000—14:40
79R. ColtonC000-240.39100014:21
14P. MaroonL000-110.03202—12:55
10C. PerryR000-200.12000—12:47
90V. NamestnikovC000-100.00510011:49
41P. BellemareL000-110.110103010:35
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1B. Elliott(L)36297.8063.15-3.8560:00

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).