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Islanders at Jets
NHL

New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
0
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Romanov's goal at 4:22 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.3, WPG 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 24, WPG 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected; David Rittich stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (23 saves, 1.000), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov23 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1122814424
WPGWPG0101408023

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(36)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    7:56

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Romanov(2)
    C. Cizikas (10), H. Fasching (4)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:22
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(27)
    Z. Parise (10)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    18:41

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Pelech(5)EN
    S. Mayfield (11)
    wristxG 0.39
    4-0
    17:59

Penalties

NYI 11 PIM·WPG 7 PIM

1st

  • 0:22WPGBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 6:44NYISebastian Aho · Hookingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min

2nd

  • 4:47NYIBo Horvat · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 5:59NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois5 min
  • 5:59WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min

3rd

  • 11:00NYIAlexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNYI goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: Alexander Romanov, 2nd 4:22 — NYI 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.27N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.13K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.11M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.11P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.09S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.09M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.08S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.07P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG0 G · 2.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWPG
2.33 G
All situations
0 G2.3
1.62 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI38%62%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWPG
24
Shots on goal
23
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
22
Hits
19
24
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD101+140.44120—24:16
24S. MayfieldD011+100.01145—23:35
6R. PulockD000+300.02320—22:54
14B. HorvatC101+230.300325920:18
27A. LeeL000000.00010—18:14
53C. CizikasC011+110.163204517:45
21K. PalmieriC000+120.05010017:40
28A. RomanovD101+320.06302—17:34
29B. NelsonC101+120.320004316:43
8N. DobsonD000020.06200—15:59
17M. MartinL000+220.43210—15:21
12J. BaileyR000000.00010—14:10
25S. AhoD000000.02112—14:04
11Z. PariseL011+220.23030—13:39
20H. FaschingR011+110.01000—13:16
10S. HolmstromR000+110.08320—11:52
36O. KoivulaL000010.042007508:27
16A. DurandeauL000010.06110—08:13
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)232301.0002.31+2.3160:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).