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Jets at Islanders
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
1
New York Islanders
▸2
FinalTV MSGSN, SN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 9:57 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 26, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Sorokin (25 saves, .962), 2. Sebastian Aho (1 G), 3. Matt Martin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Aho1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Martin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0911205126
NYINYI1110417222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    S. Aho(5)
    B. Nelson (32)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    17:35

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(5)PPG
    J. Morrissey (48), K. Connor (40)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    4:30

3rd period

  1. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(4)
    B. Horvat (26), M. Martin (11)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    9:57

Penalties

WPG 10 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:22WPGJosh Morrissey · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 15:53WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Ross Johnston2 min
  • 15:53NYIRoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 3:24NYICasey Cizikas · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min
  • 8:21WPGMorgan Barron · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:54NYIArnaud Durandeau · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min

3rd

  • 3:19WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 5:43NYIRoss Johnston · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 12:51NYIOtto Koivula · Trippingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min
  • 17:29WPGDylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWPG goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 3rd 9:57 — NYI 52% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.21S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.17C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.16H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.15O. Koivula · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.09M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08A. Durandeau · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.07S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Durandeau · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01A. Durandeau · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.1 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNYI
3.01 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG66%34%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
22
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-120.29022—27:29
81K. ConnorL011-120.34000—25:17
55M. ScheifeleC000020.241106324:36
2D. DeMeloD000-100.00212—20:05
80P. DuboisC000020.230028318:58
27N. EhlersL101-130.64000—18:35
4N. PionkD000010.01100—18:15
5B. DillonD000-100.00200—16:49
22M. AppletonC000-210.08000016:17
88N. SchmidtD000-120.19020—16:10
17A. LowryC000020.151004315:47
26B. WheelerR000030.41112—15:27
54D. SambergD000010.02110—14:54
36M. BarronC000010.311125011:30
89S. GagnerC000000.00000008:31
28K. StenlundC000-110.060103008:23
8S. MaenalanenR000020.02100—07:52
20K. KuhlmanC000010.03200007:13
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)22202.9092.14+0.1457:52

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).