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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
Winnipeg Jets
1
FinalTV ALT, TVAS·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Compher's goal at 7:34 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 36, WPG 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL411115010536
WPGWPG1601209127

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(20)
    V. Nichushkin (12), A. Lehkonen (22)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:19
  2. WPG
    M. Appleton(2)PPG
    N. Schmidt (7), B. Wheeler (28)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    3:12
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(37)
    E. Rodrigues (16)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    2-1
    4:32
  4. COL
    J. Compher(12)
    M. Rantanen (31), N. MacKinnon (49)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    7:34
  5. COL
    B. Byram(5)
    A. Cogliano (6), A. Newhook (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    4-1
    10:58

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(11)
    J. Compher (28), D. Toews (28)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    10:59

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:45COLBrad Hunt · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 17:59COLNathan MacKinnon · Hookingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

2nd

  • 12:48WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Cross checkingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 12:48WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 15:30COLArtturi Lehkonen · Trippingdrawn by Karson Kuhlman2 min

3rd

  • 3:24COLKurtis MacDermid · Trippingdrawn by Saku Maenalanen2 min
  • 8:21COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 11:19WPGSaku Maenalanen · High stickingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Compher, 1st 7:34 — COL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.21M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.12B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.11K. Kuhlman · Missed · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.07S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07A. Jonsson-Fjallby · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kuhlman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
3.05 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.25 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL62%38%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
36
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD000+200.00110—23:20
42J. MansonD000+230.06210—22:18
29N. MacKinnonC112+230.251025321:36
4B. ByramD101+330.18100—21:14
7D. ToewsD011+220.02012—20:33
13V. NichushkinR011+110.39210—20:27
37J. CompherL112+330.141205420:23
96M. RantanenR112+360.771007520:22
62A. LehkonenL011+130.37212—18:09
9E. RodriguesC011+110.050005015:06
25L. O'ConnorR000+110.00310—13:59
11A. CoglianoC011+100.00200011:57
18A. NewhookC011+110.000003811:18
88A. EnglundD000020.13110—10:54
83M. NietoL101+150.55000—10:37
56K. MacDermidL000000.00122—09:52
81D. MalginC000020.1201010009:15
17B. HuntD000+100.00002—09:13
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)27261.9632.36+1.3660:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).