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Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 3:46 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 40, WPG 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (3 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (40 saves, 1.000), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck40 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL09016015040
WPGWPG1421029523

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    9:18

2nd period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:46
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:07

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.36win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    1:22
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.17
    0-5
    16:09

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:58COLJean-Luc Foudy · Trippingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min

2nd

  • 6:33WPGNeal Pionk · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 13:29WPGJosh Morrissey · Cross checkingdrawn by Jean-Luc Foudy2 min

3rd

  • 1:58WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Slashingdrawn by Jean-Luc Foudy2 min
  • 5:59COLCale Makar · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 16:41COLJ.T. Compher · Roughingdrawn by David Gustafsson2 min
  • 16:41WPGDavid Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 2nd 3:46 — WPG 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.36M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.20B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.17B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.14N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.13P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.08M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.08M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.07N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.02A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 2.3 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
2.60 G
All situations
5 G2.3
2.40 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL55%45%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
40
Shots on goal
23
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
19
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000000.00120—22:00
8C. MakarD000-240.21002—21:55
49S. GirardD000-230.09100—21:03
62A. LehkonenL000-130.54100—20:55
29N. MacKinnonC000-150.250104620:16
96M. RantanenR000-230.120002520:01
42J. MansonD000-110.01300—19:51
37J. CompherL000-230.170023318:51
6E. JohnsonD000-230.20130—18:20
18A. NewhookC000-100.000003015:12
25L. O'ConnorR000-140.34310—14:26
47A. GalchenyukC000-200.00010013:42
11A. CoglianoC000010.01000013:13
26J. MacDonaldD000-120.04110—12:16
93J. FoudyC000030.20002012:11
22D. HuntL000-110.14400—10:36
36A. BlidhL000-130.25300—10:27
12J. MegnaC000010.081006010:25
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)23185.7832.33-2.6760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).