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Blues at Senators
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
2
Ottawa Senators
▸7
FinalTV BSMW, TVAS·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the St. Louis Blues 7-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shane Pinto's goal at 15:57 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 54% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were STL 32, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 27 of 34 (.794), 3.5 goals below expected; Mads Sogaard stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL01201129232
OTTOTT11041727734

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    S. Pinto(14)
    D. Batherson (30), A. DeBrincat (28)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:57

2nd period

  1. OTT
    A. DeBrincat(19)PPG
    T. Stützle (33), B. Tkachuk (35)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    1:51
  2. OTT
    T. Stützle(25)
    B. Tkachuk (36), C. Giroux (29)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:23
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(24)
    C. Giroux (30)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    10:07
  4. OTT
    D. Batherson(17)
    A. DeBrincat (29), S. Pinto (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    12:35

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(26)
    A. Zub (4), E. Brannstrom (7)
    snapxG 0.23
    0-6
    7:51
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.10
    1-6
    9:16
  3. STL
    T. Pitlick(3)
    J. Faulk (21)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    2-6
    11:06
  4. OTT
    R. Greig(1)
    D. Brassard (7), T. Chabot (23)
    wristxG 0.12
    2-7
    18:16

Penalties

STL 25 PIM·OTT 19 PIM

1st

  • 2:56OTTParker Kelly · Hookingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 6:29STLserved by J. Kyrou · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:02STLTyler Pitlick · Elbowingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 19:12OTTTim Stützle · Chargingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

2nd

  • 0:35STLJordan Kyrou · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Gambrell2 min
  • 11:29STLTyler Tucker · Instigatordrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 11:29STLTyler Tucker · Fightingdrawn by Austin Watson5 min
  • 11:29STLTyler Tucker · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:29OTTAustin Watson · Boardingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 11:29OTTAustin Watson · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Tucker5 min
  • 14:15STLCalle Rosen · Hookingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

3rd

  • 3:53OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 11:39OTTArtem Zub · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Highmore2 min
  • 14:13OTTClaude Giroux · Trippingdrawn by Logan Brown2 min
  • 18:54OTTDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Logan Brown2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalSTL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Shane Pinto, 1st 15:57 — OTT 54% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.23D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.20D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.20A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.20S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.19D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.15M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.15B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.14T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.14D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12R. Greig · Goal · xG 0.12M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.08E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.06M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.00A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT7 G · 3.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsOTT
2.32 G
All situations
7 G3.5
1.32 G
Even strength
6 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL30%70%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsOTT
32
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/6
Power play
1/4
25
Penalty minutes
19
23
Hits
18
5
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
10
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD101030.16120—25:22
4N. LeddyD000-130.21020—22:16
18R. ThomasC000-100.000006421:05
43C. RosenD000-120.06002—20:30
25J. KyrouR000-250.25002—19:55
10B. SchennC000-300.002003118:03
72J. FaulkD011-320.07000—17:59
13A. ToropchenkoR000-120.29100—17:08
47T. KrugD000-230.13000—16:36
49I. BarbashevL000-400.11500—16:04
26N. WalkerL000+110.392003315:51
79S. BlaisL000-120.22300—15:49
59N. AlexandrovC000-110.121004214:51
9T. PitlickC101040.19212014:00
22L. BrownC000-120.091003213:29
15M. HighmoreC000+100.00300012:05
75T. TuckerD000-120.042017—11:33
63J. NeighboursL000000.00000—00:37
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(L)34277.7943.51-3.4959:31

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).