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New York Rangers at Calgary Flames

Final/OTTV MSG, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Mikael Backlund scoring at 1:28. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 1:28 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 20, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jacob Markstrom stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (18 saves, .900), 3. Vincent Trocheck (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom18 saves, .900
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR07181401220
CGYCGY213090911332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:38
  2. CGY
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    0:46

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:53

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.13win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    12:48

Overtime

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:28

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·CGY 14 PIM

1st

  • 9:51CGYTrevor Lewis · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jaroslav Halak2 min

2nd

  • 12:13NYRVincent Trocheck · Slashingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 19:58NYRK'Andre Miller · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Pelletier2 min

3rd

  • 10:50CGYNazem Kadri · Interferencedrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 20:00CGYNazem Kadri · Misconduct10 min

OT

  • 0:50NYRAdam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNYR goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, OT 1:28 — CGY 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.18T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.13N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.11J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.11T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.11J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.07J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.01D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCGY
2.32 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR41%59%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCGY
20
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
14
26
Hits
21
13
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-120.12002—23:00
79K. MillerD000000.00112—22:13
8J. TroubaD000000.07020—21:40
10A. PanarinL011000.00100—20:03
16V. TrocheckC022030.294227019:37
55R. LindgrenD000-110.06100—19:35
20C. KreiderL000-120.09300—18:49
93M. ZibanejadC000-110.161105018:21
72F. ChytilC011030.371003817:21
13A. LafrenièreL101010.13400—17:20
24K. KakkoR000000.00000—16:49
77N. MikkolaD000010.01320—16:09
91V. TarasenkoR101030.41200—15:54
4B. SchneiderD000000.00430—15:29
26J. VeseyL000-120.39000—14:29
21B. GoodrowC000000.0012010013:14
15J. LeschyshynC000010.17000005:48
12J. GauthierR000000.00000—04:33
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(O)32293.9062.76-0.2461:28

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).