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Flames at Rangers
NHL

Calgary Flames at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
4
New York Rangers
▸5
Final/OTTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Calgary Flames 5-4 in overtime, Alexis Lafrenière scoring at 1:37. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 1:37 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 32, NYR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 0.9 goals below expected; Jaroslav Halak stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G), 2. Filip Chytil (2 G), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    F. Chytil2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY1121122800432
NYRNYR110291915533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(17)
    K. Kakko (15), A. Fox (39)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:37
  2. CGY
    B. Coleman(11)
    A. Mangiapane (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:25

2nd period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:02
  2. CGY
    T. Toffoli(19)PPG
    R. Andersson (27), E. Lindholm (31)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    16:25
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(23)PPG
    C. Kreider (12), A. Panarin (39)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 pts
    2-3
    19:46

3rd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(11)
    N. Hanifin (18), M. Backlund (21)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    6:38
  2. CGY
    M. Stone(5)
    M. Backlund (22), B. Coleman (14)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +31 pts
    4-3
    8:41
  3. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(24)
    A. Panarin (40), J. Vesey (9)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +35 pts
    4-4
    12:55

Overtime

  1. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(7)
    M. Zibanejad (28)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +49 pts
    4-5
    1:37

Penalties

CGY 41 PIM·NYR 21 PIM

1st

  • 7:15NYRBen Harpur · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 13:57NYRJacob Trouba · Fightingdrawn by Chris Tanev5 min
  • 13:57CGYChris Tanev · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Trouba5 min
  • 13:57CGYChris Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 16:16NYRWill Cuylle · Fightingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar5 min
  • 16:16CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Fightingdrawn by Will Cuylle5 min
  • 16:16CGYMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Jake Leschyshyn2 min

2nd

  • 14:43NYRserved by A. Panarin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:04NYRJacob Trouba · Fightingdrawn by Dillon Dube5 min
  • 19:04CGYDillon Dube · Instigatordrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 19:04CGYDillon Dube · Fightingdrawn by Jacob Trouba5 min
  • 19:04CGYDillon Dube · Misconductdrawn by Jacob Trouba10 min

3rd

  • 17:19NYRVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

OT

  • 1:37CGYJacob Markstrom · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCGY goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, OT 1:37 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.31A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.25F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.25M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.24M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.14F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.13F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.11V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR5 G · 4.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNYR
2.24 G
All situations
5 G4.1
1.33 G
Even strength
4 G3.1
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY23%77%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNYR
32
Shots on goal
33
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
1/3
41
Penalty minutes
21
25
Hits
25
13
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD011+120.06100—24:01
4R. AnderssonD011020.07030—22:22
28E. LindholmC011-200.002208519:59
11M. BacklundC022+200.152005018:36
16N. ZadorovD000-100.01210—18:21
8C. TanevD000000.00007—18:20
52M. WeegarD000-100.03425—17:40
88A. MangiapaneL112+230.37100—17:04
73T. ToffoliC101-150.24000016:34
91N. KadriC000-220.312004616:34
20B. ColemanL112+250.33200—16:22
26M. StoneD101030.09130—16:02
10J. HuberdeauL000-110.03100—15:20
49J. PelletierL000-110.13100—14:41
17M. LucicL000000.00222—13:44
29D. DubeC000-130.280017012:51
22T. LewisC000050.083005012:10
63A. RuzickaC000000.001002509:45
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(O)33285.8484.05-0.9561:20

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).