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Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ, BSWIX·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Wild scored first; the Coyotes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack McBain's goal at 13:13 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.2 to 3.1; shots on goal were MIN 35, ARI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 33 of 36 (.917), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (2 G), 2. Jack McBain (1 G), 3. Karel Vejmelka (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. McBain1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN05114116235
ARIARI01417215336

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    3:39
  2. ARI
    B. Hayton (11), C. Keller (24)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    9:26

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
    2-1
    1:40
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    9:35
  3. ARI
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +35 pts
    2-3
    13:13

Penalties

MIN 12 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:03ARIJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 9:36MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 12:09MINJon Merrill · Slashingdrawn by Nick Bjugstad2 min
  • 12:43ARIClayton Keller · High stickingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
  • 18:28MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min

2nd

  • 8:57MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 9:40MINCalen Addison · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 9:57MINMats Zuccarello · High stickingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 10:52ARIJakob Chychrun · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 17:26ARINick Ritchie · Holdingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Jack McBain, 3rd 13:13 — ARI 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.35N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.26J. McBain · Goal · xG 0.17N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.15J. Dea · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.12J. Dea · Missed · xG 0.11J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.07J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.06J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.06J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.06J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.05J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.02T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.00J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.00B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 4.2 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
3.12 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.32 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN34%66%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.08 – 4.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
35
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD101+120.09270—24:17
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.02020—21:37
36M. ZuccarelloR011-180.49012—21:21
24M. DumbaD000+110.05120—21:14
97K. KaprizovL101-140.54200—20:52
12M. BoldyL000-150.44202—19:47
5J. MiddletonD000-220.13110—18:56
89F. GaudreauC000020.371003818:21
14J. Eriksson EkC011+120.373024118:07
2C. AddisonD011030.10222—17:00
13S. SteelC000000.110006215:51
17M. FolignoL000010.1540010014:47
38R. HartmanR011+100.061025011:45
4J. MerrillD000+100.02112—11:25
18J. GreenwayL000+110.01200—09:55
26C. DewarC000010.011008009:23
21B. DuhaimeL000020.14300—08:49
75R. ReavesR000000.00010—07:17
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)36333.9174.24+1.2458:47

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).