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Coyotes at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, BSAZX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 0:36 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 76% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were ARI 23, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0518210323
MINMIN11111028429

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(13)
    J. Eriksson Ek (10)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:08

2nd period

  1. MIN
    S. Steel(4)
    K. Kaprizov (13), J. Brodin (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:01
  2. ARI
    N. Schmaltz(3)
    S. Gostisbehere (10), C. Keller (14)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:36

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(2)
    J. Middleton (4), J. Eriksson Ek (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    0:36
  2. MIN
    M. Boldy(9)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (14), C. Addison (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    6:33
  3. ARI
    L. Crouse(10)
    M. Maccelli (11)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:42
  4. ARI
    J. Moser(3)
    N. Bjugstad (5), M. Maccelli (12)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +6 pts
    3-4
    18:12

Penalties

ARI 13 PIM·MIN 19 PIM

1st

  • 13:32ARIJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Mason Shaw2 min

2nd

  • 1:44MINMarcus Foligno · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 1:44MINMarcus Foligno · Roughingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 1:44MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 1:44ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 1:44MINMarcus Foligno · Misconduct10 min
  • 3:36ARITravis Boyd · Slashingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 9:40ARILiam O'Brien · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min

3rd

  • 5:42ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, 3rd 0:36 — MIN 76% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.47C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.41M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.26S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.23K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.20M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.13M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.12J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.10M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.04M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
1.53 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI30%70%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
23
Shots on goal
29
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
19
14
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
2
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD011-210.00000—23:26
6J. ChychrunD000-140.29010—22:46
8N. SchmaltzC101-120.140103321:35
90J. MoserD101020.22000—21:06
9C. KellerR011-120.16022—20:35
4J. VälimäkiD000+220.11030—20:00
72T. BoydC000-100.000123117:55
2P. NemethD000000.00040—16:26
67L. CrouseL101+110.1510010016:10
29B. HaytonC000+120.010007515:32
51T. StecherD000+140.11330—15:20
17N. BjugstadC011+200.040002315:13
63M. MaccelliL022+100.00000—14:26
36C. FischerR000000.00100—12:16
22J. McBainC000020.163025811:47
44Z. KassianR000000.00110—11:08
12N. RitchieL000000.00300—09:44
38L. O'BrienC000010.09217009:16
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)29254.8622.51-1.4958:28

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).