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Golden Knights at Islanders
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
New York Islanders
▸2
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime, Mathew Barzal scoring at 4:28. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 4:28 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were VGK 46, NYI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Semyon Varlamov stopped 45 of 46 (.978), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G), 2. Anders Lee (1 G), 3. Semyon Varlamov (45 saves, .978).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov45 saves, .978

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK0811701704146
NYINYI0151160611238

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(19)
    K. Palmieri (8), B. Nelson (27)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:52
  2. VGK
    W. Carrier(12)
    C. Stephenson (33), P. Kessel (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:08

Overtime

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(12)
    A. Beauvillier (11), A. Pelech (9)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    4:28

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 0:38VGKBrett Howden · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 4:25NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 11:06NYIMathew Barzal · Slashingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

OT

  • 0:26NYIAdam Pelech · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by William Carrier0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalVGK goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, OT 4:28 — NYI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.34A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.15K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsNYI
3.31 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK65%35%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsNYI
46
Shots on goal
38
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
23
22
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000+140.20010—25:55
7A. PietrangeloD000-100.00150—22:53
20C. StephensonC011+130.261004520:15
3B. McNabbD000020.02550—20:08
9J. EichelC000070.420102519:38
81J. MarchessaultR000030.27200—19:06
23A. MartinezD000020.05030—18:36
19R. SmithR000-110.09100—17:29
43P. CotterL000020.17310—17:28
17B. HuttonD000030.09000—17:04
71W. KarlssonC000-150.371105516:33
14N. HagueD000-110.04110—16:09
8P. KesselR011+170.62010—15:27
10N. RoyC000-110.200103015:09
28W. CarrierL101+140.38320—14:48
22M. AmadioR000010.06100—13:05
21B. HowdenC000-100.000027511:55
55K. KolesarR000-100.01400—10:06
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36L. Thompson(O)38362.9472.39+0.3964:08

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).