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Islanders at Golden Knights
NHL

New York Islanders at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸5
Vegas Golden Knights
2
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, MSG 2·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 17:36 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 26, VGK 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Logan Thompson stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (35 saves, .946), 2. Reilly Smith (2 G), 3. Anders Lee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    VGK
    R. Smith2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI192928526
VGKVGK09117112238

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(10)
    A. Beauvillier (7), R. Salo (2)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    18:58

2nd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(15)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    1:11
  2. NYI
    H. Fasching(2)
    S. Aho (5), M. Martin (6)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    4:30
  3. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(1)
    Z. Parise (6), J. Pageau (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    17:36

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(16)PPG
    A. Pietrangelo (19), C. Stephenson (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    3:29
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson(15)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.67win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    18:32
  3. NYI
    Z. Parise(10)EN
    B. Nelson (18), J. Pageau (11)
    wristxG 0.93
    5-2
    19:48

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:38VGKWilliam Carrier · Interferencedrawn by Robin Salo2 min
  • 14:20NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 20:00NYICasey Cizikas · Boardingdrawn by Jonas Rondbjerg2 min

3rd

  • 2:58NYIHudson Fasching · Holdingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 5:19VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Trippingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalNYI goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 2nd 17:36 — NYI 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.12R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.11P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.11C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.05J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.04M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Leschyshyn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rondbjerg · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.2 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsVGK
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.13 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI29%71%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.18 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsVGK
26
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000+430.10120—23:03
28A. RomanovD000+310.01220—22:27
8N. DobsonD000010.06210—22:02
25S. AhoD011+110.01120—20:59
44J. PageauC022+200.000005318:13
29B. NelsonC112+310.700204617:22
6R. PulockD000+110.01110—17:07
11Z. PariseL112+210.93010—16:44
12J. BaileyR000020.120205015:55
13M. BarzalC000010.071021715:46
17M. MartinL011+110.01610—14:52
53C. CizikasC000+120.012123314:35
27A. LeeL101+230.30010—14:17
18A. BeauvillierR011+120.08000—14:07
10S. HolmstromR101+220.13010—12:49
26O. WahlstromR000010.01400—12:30
20H. FaschingR101+110.18502—11:58
2R. SaloD011+120.06010—11:32
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)37352.9462.17+0.1753:38
30I. Sorokin1101.0000.06+0.0606:22

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).