Skip to content
Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
Final/OTTV SN·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Mitch Marner scoring at 0:19. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mitch Marner's goal at 0:19 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 29, TOR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (1 G), 2. Ilya Samsonov (27 saves, .931), 3. Timothy Liljegren (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    T. Liljegren1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR092110900229
TORTOR1801611011335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    P. Holmberg(5)
    J. Anderson (1), A. Kerfoot (15)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:27

2nd period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(14)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:09
  2. NYR
    F. Chytil(15)
    K. Kakko (14), A. Lafrenière (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:31

3rd period

  1. TOR
    T. Liljegren(4)
    J. Tavares (27), W. Nylander (31)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +39 pts
    2-2
    15:49

Overtime

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(18)
    T. Liljegren (9)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:19

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:18TORserved by Pontus Holmberg · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:42NYRVincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min

2nd

  • 9:27NYRFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min
  • 17:01NYRBraden Schneider · Holdingdrawn by Joey Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 3:34TORTimothy Liljegren · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Mitch Marner, OT 0:19 — TOR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.27J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.23J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.22J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.20A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.20J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.19J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.18C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.16A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.15T. Liljegren · Goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.12J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.07R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.07C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06P. Holmberg · Goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kampf · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01
TOR3 G · 4.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
1.92 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR20%80%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
29
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000030.18020—24:33
8J. TroubaD000020.07550—21:28
55R. LindgrenD000000.02310—21:13
79K. MillerD000-130.10420—20:53
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.062005020:32
26J. VeseyL000030.17100—19:18
16V. TrocheckC000-120.083026018:59
10A. PanarinL000-120.14000—18:39
21B. GoodrowC000-110.16420017:24
20C. KreiderL000-120.20000—17:22
24K. KakkoR011+200.11100—16:05
4B. SchneiderD000000.03222—15:27
72F. ChytilC202+240.280024215:25
13A. LafrenièreL011+220.0511010015:00
5B. HarpurD000010.03010—14:19
15J. LeschyshynC000-100.001006006:36
12J. GauthierR000-120.21400—05:55
50W. CuylleL000-100.00400—05:49
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(O)35323.9143.96+0.9660:19

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).