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Maple Leafs at Rangers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV MSG, TSN4·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 15:33 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 23, NYR 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Vesey (2 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (22 saves, .957), 3. Filip Chytil (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Vesey2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    F. Chytil1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR1904010123
NYRNYR191615320

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    F. Chytil(7)PPG
    K. Kakko (5), A. Lafrenière (9)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    3:52
  2. TOR
    M. Bunting(7)
    D. Kampf (8), C. Timmins (5)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:06

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Vesey(4)
    V. Trocheck (11), K. Miller (12)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:33

3rd period

  1. NYR
    J. Vesey(5)EN
    J. Trouba (9), V. Trocheck (12)
    wristxG 0.65win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    18:47

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:23TORMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 8:07NYRJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

2nd

  • 17:04NYRBarclay Goodrow · Slashingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

3rd

  • 2:21NYRFilip Chytil · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTOR goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 2nd 15:33 — NYR 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.65J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.30M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.16A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.15J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.07J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.00C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.00B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR3 G · 2.3 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNYR
2.91 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.41 G
Even strength
1 G0.8
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR77%23%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 1.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNYR
23
Shots on goal
20
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
8
Hits
19
11
Blocked shots
14
29
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR000-130.20000—22:38
34A. MatthewsC000-250.612104322:20
25C. TimminsD011010.04020—22:05
38R. SandinD000-120.22110—21:35
78T. BrodieD000000.09010—21:27
3J. HollD000010.04200—21:02
88W. NylanderR000-110.20000—20:40
91J. TavaresC000-210.202005718:44
55M. GiordanoD000010.02012—18:06
58M. BuntingL101-110.46100—17:21
47P. EngvallL000+100.08000—14:58
64D. KampfC011+120.060006714:12
15A. KerfootC000010.01010013:23
62D. MalginC000010.09010012:39
37T. LiljegrenD000000.00020—10:25
29P. HolmbergR000010.200003810:01
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000020.3701010009:52
28J. AndersonR000000.00000—07:41
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)19172.8951.40-0.6059:22

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).