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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 3:26 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 10% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 29, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Spencer Martin stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G, 3 A), 2. Quinn Hughes (2 A), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM21019110429
VANVAN01017112229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:26
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(24)PPG
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    8:31

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    9:26
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    16:46

3rd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    3:26
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    19:25

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:41VANserved by L. Pederson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:57VANLane Pederson · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 12:57EDMDylan Holloway · Roughingdrawn by Lane Pederson2 min

3rd

  • 5:47EDMDerek Ryan · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Spencer Martin2 min
  • 12:00EDMWarren Foegele · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, 3rd 3:26 — VAN 10% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.28I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.21C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.21B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.19T. Dermott · Missed · xG 0.17J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.16I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.16A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.15I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.10L. Pederson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07D. Joshua · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.05Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.04R. Stillman · Missed · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.03W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02R. Stillman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.00L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
4.43 G
All situations
2 G2.8
3.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM61%39%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
29
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
22
12
Blocked shots
7
4
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000+210.06010—25:05
97C. McDavidC112070.921105023:49
18Z. HymanL134+150.54010—20:24
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC123+220.990004020:02
5C. CeciD000+210.03140—18:12
29L. DraisaitlC101+110.290006318:05
27B. KulakD000000.00030—17:58
91E. KaneL000-140.55300—17:23
86P. BrobergD000-100.00100—16:27
2E. BouchardD000-110.13000—15:33
22T. BarrieD000000.00110—14:50
71R. McLeodC000010.020005814:24
10D. RyanC000040.440025013:35
37W. FoegeleL000010.20102—12:19
13J. PuljujarviR000000.18400—12:06
55D. HollowayL000000.00312—11:38
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00000—11:13
21K. KostinC000010.07100010:57
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)29272.9312.79+0.7960:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).