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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Canucks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 12:25 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.3 to 4.0; shots on goal were VAN 30, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Collin Delia stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G, 2 A), 3. Collin Delia (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    B. Horvat2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    C. Delia31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0821339530
EDMEDM21301307233

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.25win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:42
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:55

2nd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:41
  2. VAN
    J. Miller(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    18:33

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +36 pts
    3-2
    12:25
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +7 pts
    4-2
    17:19
  3. VAN
    B. Horvat(24)EN
    backhandxG 0.96
    5-2
    19:19

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:38VANLuke Schenn · Elbowingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 6:40EDMDylan Holloway · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 13:03VANLane Pederson · Holdingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 16:37EDMDerek Ryan · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 19:18VANCurtis Lazar · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, 3rd 12:25 — VAN 48% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.27D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.25L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.19R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.18D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.17D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.15C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.13L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.08T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niemelainen · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 4.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
4.34 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.01 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN33%67%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
33
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
28
20
Blocked shots
16
11
Giveaways
20
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000+100.00100—24:28
57T. MyersD022+210.03420—23:16
9J. MillerC202+150.441205622:27
74E. BearD000+130.09100—21:30
53B. HorvatC224+131.290004720:23
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011+110.01020—18:33
40E. PetterssonC022+150.360004417:50
6B. BoeserR000010.49130—16:58
20C. LazarC000+200.07132016:36
8C. GarlandR022+300.51210—16:13
2L. SchennD000010.08412—15:19
65I. MikheyevR101-130.29000—14:51
96A. KuzmenkoL000020.24010—14:00
61R. StillmanD000-100.00230—13:36
29L. PedersonC000020.22312012:27
88N. AmanC000000.000101310:45
18J. StudnickaC000-120.15000007:42
81D. JoshuaC000010.03400007:15
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60C. Delia(W)33312.9393.95+1.9559:51

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).