Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Canucks came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 12:25 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 4.3 to 4.0; shots on goal were VAN 30, EDM 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Collin Delia stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 G), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G, 2 A), 3. Collin Delia (31 saves, .939).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-19:42
0-219:55
2nd period
1-20:41
2-218:33
3rd period
3-212:25
4-217:19
5-219:19
Penalties
1st
- 1:38
Luke Schenn · Elbowingdrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
2nd
- 6:40
Dylan Holloway · Trippingdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
- 13:03
Lane Pederson · Holdingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
- 16:37
Derek Ryan · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
- 19:18
Curtis Lazar · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Bo Horvat, 3rd 12:25 — 48% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.34 G
- All situations
- 2 G4.0
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.5
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 42%
- Faceoffs
- 58%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 28
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 11
- Giveaways
- 20
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
