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Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSSC, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 10:23 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were EDM 53, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 21 of 23 (.913); John Gibson stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Klim Kostin (2 G), 3. Sam Carrick (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    K. Kostin2 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    S. Carrick1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM417220016653
ANAANA180916223

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:24
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    4:38
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:52
  4. EDM
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    10:23
  5. EDM
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    19:02

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    5-1
    7:41
  2. EDM
    between-legsxG 0.17
    6-1
    18:44

3rd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    0:48

Penalties

EDM 6 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:50EDMVincent Desharnais · Interferencedrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 15:35ANAserved by M. McTavish · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 10:16EDMConnor McDavid · High stickingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 18:38ANATrevor Zegras · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min

3rd

  • 8:07ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 17:53EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Interferencedrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 1st 10:23 — EDM 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.18K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.17T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.13S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.12M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05M. Comtois · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · Goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.03M. Comtois · On goal · xG 0.03B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.03U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.02B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
4.76 G
All situations
2 G1.8
3.95 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM88%12%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.62 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
53
Shots on goal
23
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000080.24020—23:41
71R. McLeodC000030.480105720:20
86P. BrobergD011000.00000—18:10
27B. KulakD000+340.09220—18:09
2E. BouchardD022+210.26200—17:16
29L. DraisaitlC101040.530005316:34
18Z. HymanL000020.21000—16:33
26M. JanmarkC011+220.23000016:32
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112+260.360004415:58
56K. YamamotoR011+110.14000—15:46
97C. McDavidC112+180.802028215:31
5C. CeciD000010.03020—15:18
21K. KostinC202+260.63200015:17
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00312—15:04
55D. HollowayL101+120.40000—14:38
37W. FoegeleL000010.1120010013:55
13J. PuljujarviR000040.14202—13:27
22T. BarrieD011+100.00000—11:51
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)23212.9131.82-0.1860:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).