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Ducks at Oilers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV BSSC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Klingberg's goal at 6:08 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were ANA 17, EDM 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 94% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 46 of 49 (.939), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (46 saves, .939), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Strome (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal46 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    R. Strome1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA281712417
EDMEDM111115123349

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Nurse(5)
    D. Ryan (4), E. Bouchard (10)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:07
  2. ANA
    S. Carrick(1)
    M. McTavish (13), J. Megna (1)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    14:37
  3. ANA
    C. Fowler(4)PPG
    M. McTavish (14), A. Henrique (8)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    17:19

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Strome(8)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.29win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:31
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(15)PPG
    C. McDavid (34), L. Draisaitl (32)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    19:32

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(28)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (33), T. Barrie (21)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    2:06
  2. ANA
    J. Klingberg(4)
    F. Vatrano (8), R. Strome (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +29 pts
    4-3
    6:08

Penalties

ANA 16 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:18EDMEvan Bouchard · Trippingdrawn by Brett Leason2 min
  • 17:06EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 18:13ANAJakob Silfverberg · Hookingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

2nd

  • 3:44EDMBrett Kulak · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 3:44ANARyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 4:30EDMCody Ceci · Slashingdrawn by Lukas Dostal2 min
  • 4:30ANAAdam Henrique · Slashingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min
  • 14:57ANAJohn Klingberg · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 18:36ANATrevor Zegras · Cross checkingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

3rd

  • 0:18ANARyan Strome · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 1:32ANADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 16:17ANATrevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: John Klingberg, 3rd 6:08 — ANA 48% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.37R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.27W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.23L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.19L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.16C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.15T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.14D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.13D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.12K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.09D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niemelainen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 5.9 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
1.84 G
All situations
3 G5.9
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G3.1
0.21 G
Power play
2 G2.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA6%94%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 5.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
17
Shots on goal
49
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/2
Power play
2/6
16
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
24
13
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14A. HenriqueC011000.000226423:07
29D. KulikovD000+100.04112—22:30
4C. FowlerD101+220.10110—22:19
77F. VatranoR011+220.22310—22:03
13S. BenoitD000010.01310—20:09
19T. TerryR000+130.37100—19:53
11T. ZegrasC000000.11004018:32
33J. SilfverbergR000+110.030123318:08
3J. KlingbergD101+110.03122—16:58
22K. ShattenkirkD000020.02110—16:39
16R. StromeC112+220.401046716:06
37M. McTavishC022020.121004015:15
5U. VaakanainenD000000.01100—10:49
39S. CarrickC101+110.133205010:22
20B. LeasonR000-100.17000—09:41
45C. WhiteD000000.00000—09:24
44M. ComtoisL000-100.0000010009:10
7J. MegnaC011+100.00110006:11
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)49463.9395.89+2.8960:00

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).