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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSWA+, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 19:27 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 29, PHI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.8 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Konecny (3 G), 2. Owen Tippett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Scott Laughton (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Konecny3 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    S. Laughton1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH11008211329
PHIPHI21501239536

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:26
  2. WSH
    N. Jensen (18), N. Dowd (9)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:06
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:27

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:31
  2. PHI
    T. Konecny(23)SHG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 pts
    1-4
    7:28
  3. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    9:18
  4. WSH
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    3-4
    14:42
  5. PHI
    wristxG 0.91win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    19:47

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:13WSHAlex Ovechkin · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 11:33WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

2nd

  • 14:33WSHDmitry Orlov · Trippingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min

3rd

  • 6:38PHITony DeAngelo · Slashingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min
  • 11:36WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 18:41WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 19:47WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 1st 19:27 — PHI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.91T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.25J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.17O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.13O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.12Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.11J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.09M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.08N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.08W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.06P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.06N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.05J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05C. York · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 4.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
1.73 G
All situations
4 G4.1
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH26%74%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
2/6
12
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
29
7
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.00000—23:49
9D. OrlovD000030.06202—21:43
3N. JensenD011+100.00420—21:30
8A. OvechkinL000-260.50102—20:43
92E. KuznetsovC000-230.124045020:22
42M. FehérváryD011+100.10210—20:07
56E. GustafssonD000020.29010—19:37
19N. BackstromC011010.021007116:38
15S. MilanoL000010.06000—16:35
77T. OshieR101040.26202—15:13
20L. EllerC000+120.02200014:53
43T. WilsonR000-200.00402—14:44
73C. ShearyL000-110.0111010013:02
17D. StromeC000-100.000004313:01
27A. AlexeyevD000-100.00100—10:49
90M. JohanssonL101+210.08000—10:48
26N. DowdC011+220.100102910:45
21G. HathawayR101+220.12410—09:46
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)35314.8863.15-0.8558:23

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).