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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV TNT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Alex Ovechkin scoring at 1:04. The Flyers scored first; the Capitals answered. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 1:04 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 23, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Darcy Kuemper stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. T.J. Oshie (2 A), 3. Felix Sandstrom (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    F. Sandstrom29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI110150800223
WSHWSH1100141612332

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:27
  2. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    11:05

2nd period

  1. PHI
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:33

3rd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +42 pts
    2-2
    17:02

Overtime

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.22win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:04

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:58PHIJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 11:53WSHNic Dowd · Hookingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 16:14WSHSonny Milano · High stickingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min

2nd

  • 8:39PHIJustin Braun · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 18:00PHILukas Sedlak · Interferencedrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min

3rd

  • 1:40WSHMatt Irwin · Hookingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
  • 3:30WSHLars Eller · Slashingdrawn by Zack MacEwen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, OT 1:04 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.24M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.22E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.21M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.19S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.11S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH3 G · 3.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI24%76%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
35
Hits
30
20
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD000-120.09220—27:06
6T. SanheimD011+100.00110—22:00
9I. ProvorovD011000.02120—21:41
55R. RistolainenD000000.00350—20:46
13K. HayesR000-100.080005719:55
48M. FrostC101030.061001419:42
49N. CatesL000010.181103319:32
74O. TippettR000-100.07120—19:04
17Z. MacEwenR000030.05600—17:55
86J. FarabeeL011020.11100—16:10
38P. BrownC101+120.213003813:22
24N. SeelerD000000.00100—12:48
58T. LaczynskiC000+120.29110012:02
44N. DeslauriersL011+120.19710—11:53
61J. BraunD000+110.02134—11:51
59J. CatesC000000.14100011:29
23L. SedlakC000000.001223810:48
20K. BellowsL000050.343005010:15
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(O)32293.9063.46+0.4660:50

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).