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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
5
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV BSSO, NBCSP+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 6-5. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 5:57 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.6, CAR 2.7; shots on goal were PHI 31, CAR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.5 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Martinook (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jesper Fast (2 G), 3. Jordan Staal (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Fast2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI15110316531
CARCAR31431508637

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Fast(3)
    J. Martinook (9), J. Staal (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:57
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(4)
    M. Frost (7), T. DeAngelo (12)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:03
  3. CAR
    S. Noesen(7)PPG
    M. Necas (18), A. Svechnikov (13)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    14:32
  4. CAR
    J. Fast(4)
    J. Martinook (10), J. Staal (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:05

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. DeAngelo(6)
    J. Farabee (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:01
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(18)
    M. Necas (19), P. Stastny (7)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:57
  3. CAR
    J. Martinook(8)
    B. Pesce (7), J. Staal (7)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    2-5
    7:58
  4. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(5)PPG
    T. Teravainen (10), B. Pesce (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 pts
    2-6
    17:52

3rd period

  1. PHI
    N. Seeler(3)
    R. Ristolainen (1), N. Cates (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    6:59
  2. PHI
    S. Laughton(7)SHG
    T. Konecny (17)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    4-6
    7:41
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(15)SHG
    S. Laughton (8), C. York (4)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    5-6
    12:24

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:52PHIMorgan Frost · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

2nd

  • 15:56PHINick Seeler · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 3:29CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 7:27PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 10:46PHITony DeAngelo · High stickingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 13:26CARPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 2nd 5:57 — CAR 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.10M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.10S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 2.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
2.65 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.42 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI48%52%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
31
Shots on goal
37
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
11
16
Blocked shots
10
1
Giveaways
7
14
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77T. DeAngeloD112+150.16012—25:14
11T. KonecnyR112+140.37210—23:15
9I. ProvorovD000+110.03120—20:59
45C. YorkD011+100.14020—20:20
6T. SanheimD101010.06112—19:14
86J. FarabeeL011010.132103318:45
13K. HayesR000-220.080006718:21
25J. van RiemsdykL000060.63000—17:35
48M. FrostC011+120.181023816:01
21S. LaughtonC112+230.431206415:58
49N. CatesL011+120.170202515:56
24N. SeelerD101030.03022—15:06
55R. RistolainenD011-100.00010—14:45
74O. TippettR000+110.06200—12:31
17Z. MacEwenR000-100.00100—12:06
57W. AllisonR000000.05110—10:42
38P. BrownC000-100.033008609:40
44N. DeslauriersL000-100.00200—09:38
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson30255.8332.48-2.5247:24
79C. Hart(L)761.8570.26-0.7409:54

Season series

CAR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).