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Flyers at Avalanche
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
FinalTV ALT, NBCSP·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The Flyers scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 15:04 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 72%. Expected goals were close — PHI 1.7, COL 1.8; shots on goal were PHI 28, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Felix Sandstrom stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.2 goals below expected; Pavel Francouz stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G, 1 A), 2. J.T. Compher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Cam York (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Compher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    C. York1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1804116228
COLCOL0102916325

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    C. York(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:52

2nd period

  1. COL
    D. Toews(2)
    J. Compher (12), L. O'Connor (4)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    9:25
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(8)SHG
    E. Johnson (6)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    15:04

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Compher(4)
    A. Lehkonen (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:33
  2. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(4)
    T. Konecny (14), K. Hayes (20)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    16:22

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:43PHIJoel Farabee · High stickingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 13:37PHITravis Konecny · Interferencedrawn by Cale Makar2 min

2nd

  • 12:04PHIMorgan Frost · Hookingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 13:26COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min
  • 19:14COLCale Makar · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalPHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, 2nd 15:04 — COL 52% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.26M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.18D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.11J. Compher · Goal · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01
COL3 G · 1.8 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCOL
1.72 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI48%52%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
25
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
10
0
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11T. KonecnyR011030.17112—23:16
45C. YorkD101+110.14400—21:35
6T. SanheimD000+130.12210—21:04
9I. ProvorovD000-120.08100—21:03
55R. RistolainenD000-130.06230—20:27
13K. HayesR011020.030105020:08
25J. van RiemsdykL101-140.44010—20:01
49N. CatesL000+120.040003818:39
21S. LaughtonC000020.091105617:56
48M. FrostC000-210.251324316:36
61J. BraunD000-100.00010—16:04
86J. FarabeeL000+120.11202—15:37
23L. SedlakC000010.04310014:03
74O. TippettR000-110.04130—14:00
24N. SeelerD000-110.00420—13:56
44N. DeslauriersL000000.06100—08:59
38P. BrownC000000.004107108:31
71M. WillmanC000000.01210005:45
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Sandstrom(L)25223.8801.79-1.2156:20

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).