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Avalanche at Flyers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
FinalTV ALT, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-3. The Avalanche scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tanner Laczynski's goal at 18:05 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 32, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 2.2 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (29 saves, .906), 2. Travis Sanheim (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tony DeAngelo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart29 saves, .906
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. DeAngelo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL11505212332
PHIPHI211112211534

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Newhook(5)PPG
    C. Makar (18), N. MacKinnon (26)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    3:50
  2. PHI
    T. Sanheim(3)
    S. Laughton (5), Z. MacEwen (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    7:29
  3. PHI
    T. Laczynski(2)
    J. Farabee (10), P. Brown (1)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    18:05

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. DeAngelo(4)PPG
    M. Frost (3), K. Hayes (18)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    3:59

3rd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(7)PPG
    S. Laughton (6), I. Provorov (11)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    9:54
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(15)
    E. Johnson (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    17:47
  3. COL
    A. Newhook(6)
    J. Compher (10), D. Toews (14)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +6 pts
    3-4
    18:23
  4. PHI
    T. Konecny(10)EN
    K. Hayes (19), T. Sanheim (8)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    19:00

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:33PHIKevin Hayes · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 8:30PHITanner Laczynski · Trippingdrawn by Jayson Megna2 min

2nd

  • 3:01COLAlex Galchenyuk · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
  • 5:36PHIJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 11:47COLAlex Galchenyuk · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 18:48PHITony DeAngelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Anton Blidh2 min

3rd

  • 2:10PHIJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 8:47COLCale Makar · High stickingdrawn by Lukas Sedlak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCOL goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Tanner Laczynski, 1st 18:05 — PHI 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.93S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.41T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.24T. Laczynski · Goal · xG 0.24S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.11N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.08O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.08L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.08L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.08J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.06J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.05K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · Goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.00R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI5 G · 3.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsPHI
2.43 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.81 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL63%37%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/5
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
29
Hits
37
10
Blocked shots
31
5
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-120.26102—28:53
7D. ToewsD011+140.09020—25:41
37J. CompherL011030.341106225:34
96M. RantanenR101030.191103325:03
18A. NewhookC202-120.34000023:04
49S. GirardD000-120.03200—21:25
6E. JohnsonD011+130.08120—17:30
25L. O'ConnorR000+110.10300—16:53
11A. CoglianoC000+100.0003010015:49
54C. HudonL000070.50200—15:25
26J. MacDonaldD000-110.06000—14:29
12J. MegnaC000-110.223005013:04
22D. HuntL000-100.00500—11:26
61M. KautR000-110.15010—11:13
88A. EnglundD000-100.01300—10:35
36A. BlidhL000010.02300—08:40
47A. GalchenyukC000000.003045008:30
29N. MacKinnonC011-110.041003304:58
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)33294.8791.79-2.2157:43

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).