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Predators at Blues
NHL

Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
St. Louis Blues
▸1
Final/OTTV BSSO, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Nashville Predators 1-0 in overtime, Brayden Schenn scoring at 2:23. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 2:23 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were NSH 25, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (23 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros23 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH07090801025
STLSTL09040714124

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(7)
    J. Kyrou (13), T. Krug (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    0-1
    2:23

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:17NSHRyan Johansen · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 9:49STLRobert Bortuzzo · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 15:16STLBrayden Schenn · Boardingdrawn by Jordan Gross2 min
  • 17:28NSHRyan Johansen · Slashingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

2nd

  • 4:05NSHRyan Johansen · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
  • 7:08STLNiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Cole Smith2 min
  • 14:09STLColton Parayko · Cross checkingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, OT 2:23 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.19I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.07J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01
STL1 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSTL
2.70 G
All situations
1 G2.2
2.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH56%44%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
24
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
30
Hits
32
17
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
6
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000-140.27150—29:29
14M. EkholmD000010.04110—24:02
64M. GranlundC000000.051002920:08
57D. FabbroD000020.02120—20:05
95M. DucheneC000020.21000019:28
9F. ForsbergL000030.30110—18:25
46J. GrossD000000.03110—17:25
84T. JeannotL000000.00400—17:01
75J. ParssinenC000-130.774007815:59
92R. JohansenC000020.270065815:53
13Y. TreninC000020.31220015:22
22N. NiederreiterR000010.09000—15:18
5K. GravelD000000.06210—14:39
10C. SissonsC000-110.072203313:17
55R. McKeownD000000.00020—12:21
36C. SmithR000030.18600—12:07
17M. JankowskiL000000.000003310:19
8C. GlassC000010.044005009:51
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)24231.9582.25+1.2562:23

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).