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Predators at Islanders
NHL

Nashville Predators at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸4
New York Islanders
1
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roman Josi's goal at 8:22 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 68% to 84%. Expected goals were close — NSH 3.0, NYI 3.1; shots on goal were NSH 23, NYI 49. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 48 of 49 (.980), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Kevin Lankinen (48 saves, .980), 2. Roman Josi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    K. Lankinen48 saves, .980
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH171927423
NYINYI09018122149

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(8)PPG
    M. Duchene (14), R. Josi (14)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    14:18

2nd period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(6)PPG
    F. Forsberg (14), M. Duchene (15)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    8:22

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(3)PPG
    B. Nelson (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    11:06
  2. NSH
    M. Duchene(6)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.59win prob +7 pts
    3-1
    18:47
  3. NSH
    M. Granlund(4)EN
    M. Ekholm (7)
    wristxG 0.90
    4-1
    19:23

Penalties

NSH 13 PIM·NYI 11 PIM

1st

  • 10:12NSHJeremy Lauzon · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:01NYICole Bardreau · Slashingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min
  • 15:02NSHTanner Jeannot · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

  • 3:26NSHMichael McCarron · Fightingdrawn by Matt Martin5 min
  • 3:26NYIMatt Martin · Fightingdrawn by Michael McCarron5 min
  • 7:05NSHJeremy Lauzon · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 8:07NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min
  • 8:14NYISebastian Aho · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min

3rd

  • 10:56NSHMichael McCarron · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Roman Josi, 2nd 8:22 — NSH 68% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.28M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.20B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.13O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bardreau · Missed · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI1 G · 3.1 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNYI
3.02 G
All situations
1 G3.1
1.00 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.62 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH24%76%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.53 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNYI
23
Shots on goal
49
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/3
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
28
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD112+150.18040—24:04
14M. EkholmD011+110.02100—22:22
45A. CarrierD000+100.00020—21:39
95M. DucheneC123+110.681006019:01
27R. McDonaghD000000.02140—18:57
64M. GranlundC101+110.94020016:57
92R. JohansenC000+120.211005316:02
57D. FabbroD000020.07200—15:55
3J. LauzonD000+130.05214—15:00
75J. ParssinenC000000.001004014:55
13Y. TreninC000000.03300014:36
22N. NiederreiterR000+100.0031010014:30
10C. SissonsC000+100.001006114:24
36C. SmithR000+110.14300—14:07
84T. JeannotL000010.16512—13:53
17M. JankowskiL000020.231107013:24
9F. ForsbergL112040.32100—13:18
47M. McCarronC000000.00217010:46
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)49481.9803.07+2.0760:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).