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Islanders at Predators
NHL

New York Islanders at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
4
Nashville Predators
▸5
FinalTV BSSO, MSGSN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the New York Islanders 5-4. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 4:32 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 7% to 21%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were NYI 33, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.3 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 33 (.879). Three stars: 1. Juuso Parssinen (2 G, 1 A), 2. Roman Josi (4 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Parssinen2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi4 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI17110216433
NSHNSH31811013531

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(6)
    R. Josi (8), J. Parssinen (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:03
  2. NYI
    A. Pelech(2)
    R. Pulock (6)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    2:43
  3. NSH
    C. Sissons(1)
    C. Smith (5), R. Josi (9)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    8:43
  4. NSH
    N. Niederreiter(8)
    R. McDonagh (6), R. Josi (10)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:41

2nd period

  1. NSH
    J. Parssinen(2)
    F. Forsberg (11), D. Fabbro (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    5:01
  2. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(2)
    M. Martin (3), A. Pelech (6)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    15:41

3rd period

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(6)
    J. Pageau (8), A. Romanov (5)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    4:32
  2. NSH
    J. Parssinen(3)PPG
    M. Granlund (12), R. Josi (11)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    3-5
    9:52
  3. NYI
    J. Pageau(3)PPG
    A. Lee (9), M. Barzal (19)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +6 pts
    4-5
    15:39

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:13NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Interferencedrawn by Alexandre Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 0:47NYIBrock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 0:47NSHNino Niederreiter · Embellishmentdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 6:04NSHRoman Josi · Hookingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 9:46NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 12:08NSHNino Niederreiter · Delaying game smothering puck2 min
  • 15:28NSHMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 17:10NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalNYI goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, 3rd 4:32 — NYI 7% → 21%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.23M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.18C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.17M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.15M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.13M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.13J. Parssinen · Goal · xG 0.12C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12J. Parssinen · Goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.05T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Parssinen · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00D. Fabbro · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH5 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNSH
3.64 G
All situations
5 G2.7
2.53 G
Even strength
4 G2.4
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI66%34%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.62 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
37
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
22
7
Giveaways
17
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-110.06030—23:17
13M. BarzalC011030.541022523:08
3A. PelechD112+140.13020—22:04
29B. NelsonC000-120.322026021:07
6R. PulockD011+120.08300—19:49
27A. LeeL011-130.52110—19:18
28A. RomanovD011-210.01210—18:52
24S. MayfieldD000-110.10102—17:28
21K. PalmieriC101020.30400015:24
18A. BeauvillierR000-100.02000—15:22
11Z. PariseL000-100.05200—15:12
44J. PageauC112020.556005815:02
26O. WahlstromR000040.23202—14:06
25S. AhoD000020.11010—13:48
15C. ClutterbuckR101030.24300—12:25
53C. CizikasC000030.282004512:07
17M. MartinL011+200.04600—10:11
32R. JohnstonL000-100.03200—06:12
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)31265.8392.68-2.3259:02

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).