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Maple Leafs at Penguins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV NHLN, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pontus Holmberg's goal at 9:55 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 66% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.8 to 2.6; shots on goal were TOR 41, PIT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Erik Kallgren stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 37 of 41 (.902). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Marner1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR117210114441
PITPIT05010111126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Marner(6)
    A. Matthews (13), C. Jarnkrok (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:40

2nd period

  1. TOR
    P. Holmberg(2)
    M. Marner (21)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    9:55
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(12)
    A. Matthews (14), M. Bunting (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    10:50

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(9)
    J. Guentzel (9), S. Crosby (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    11:38
  2. TOR
    A. Matthews(10)
    M. Bunting (9), W. Nylander (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    14:36

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:27TORVictor Mete · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 12:59PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 0:54PITJeff Petry · Interferencedrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 15:24TORZachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min

3rd

  • 0:06PITJake Guentzel · Slashingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalTOR goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Pontus Holmberg, 2nd 9:55 — TOR 66% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.22R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.20S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.17J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.12B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.11M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.05J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsPIT
3.84 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.84 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR68%32%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.71 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsPIT
41
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
57
12
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38R. SandinD000+200.00510—22:59
37T. LiljegrenD000+220.08110—22:09
55M. GiordanoD000+120.04200—21:22
3J. HollD000+110.00120—21:13
16M. MarnerR112+280.81210—19:31
91J. TavaresC000030.230006117:08
34A. MatthewsC123+360.651207817:07
19C. JarnkrokC011020.2301010016:28
88W. NylanderR112+240.78000—15:48
64D. KampfC000000.001101415:35
98V. MeteD000020.03112—15:24
47P. EngvallL000020.02300—14:45
15A. KerfootC000-110.02000013:59
12Z. Aston-ReeseL000030.23122—13:23
58M. BuntingL022+310.18200—13:11
62D. MalginC000030.21200012:27
29P. HolmbergR101010.231006312:01
81M. HollowellD000000.00000—11:30
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50E. Kallgren(W)26251.9622.62+1.6260:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).