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Avalanche at Hurricanes
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Final/OTTV ALT, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, Artturi Lehkonen scoring at 1:55. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Artturi Lehkonen's goal at 1:55 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 15, CAR 48. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Pavel Francouz stopped 46 of 48 (.958), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G), 2. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pavel Francouz (46 saves, .958).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    P. Francouz46 saves, .958

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL15160212315
CARCAR01211711801248

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    E. Rodrigues(6)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    7:20

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(8)
    M. Necas (13)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    7:14
  2. COL
    A. Newhook(3)
    J. Manson (2), E. Johnson (4)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    14:20

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(8)
    J. Slavin (4)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +32 pts
    2-2
    10:23

Overtime

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(5)
    J. Compher (4), D. Toews (10)
    slapxG 0.16win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    1:55

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:57COLEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 6:08CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Francouz2 min
  • 13:18COLAnton Blidh · Hookingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

2nd

  • 7:31COLLogan O'Connor · Holdingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 14:53CARJordan Martinook · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 14:53COLNathan MacKinnon · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 16:49CARPaul Stastny · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 6:47CARBrent Burns · High stickingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 18:11COLAlex Newhook · High stickingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCOL goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Artturi Lehkonen, OT 1:55 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.23S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.22P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.15J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.08B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 4.1 xG · 68 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCAR
1.83 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.21 G
Power play
0 G1.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL16%84%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 4.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCAR
15
Shots on goal
48
32%
Faceoffs
68%
1/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
18
15
Blocked shots
8
4
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000010.10210—32:48
7D. ToewsD011+110.05110—29:11
96M. RantanenR000-110.140004323:48
29N. MacKinnonC000-130.302121822:14
62A. LehkonenL101+120.28310—20:17
6E. JohnsonD011+100.00210—19:39
37J. CompherL011+100.170104019:13
9E. RodriguesC101-110.060023318:13
42J. MansonD011-100.00000—17:31
11A. CoglianoC000000.000105015:43
25L. O'ConnorR000020.09112—15:00
18A. NewhookC101020.391025013:23
61M. KautR000010.14210—12:50
26J. MacDonaldD000-100.00220—10:10
88A. EnglundD000-100.00320—08:26
12J. MegnaC000000.00410005:58
22D. HuntL000010.02100—05:54
36A. BlidhL000000.00412—05:51
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39P. Francouz(W)48462.9584.08+2.0861:55

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).