San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe San Jose Sharks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-2. The Golden Knights scored first; the Sharks answered. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 17:12 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 54% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were SJS 29, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. James Reimer stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (1 G), 2. Luke Kunin (1 G), 3. Jack Eichel (1 G).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-119:56
2nd period
1-18:05
1-215:53
3rd period
2-21:03
3-217:12
4-218:09
5-219:44
Penalties
1st
- 17:20
Paul Cotter · Holdingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
2nd
- 3:03
Tomas Hertl · Holdingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
3rd
- 5:34
Jaycob Megna · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
- 14:10
Nico Sturm · High stickingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
- 16:15
Reilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Timo Meier, 3rd 17:12 — 54% → 91%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.73 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.6
- 0.92 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.05 – 2.57
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 35
- Hits
- 27
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 23
- 9
- Giveaways
- 4
- 9
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
4@
2Final
5@
2this game
1@
2Final
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
