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Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Seattle Kraken 1-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 18:19 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals were close — MIN 1.8, SEA 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 21, SEA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Mats Zuccarello (1 G), 3. Martin Jones (20 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Fleury28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    M. Jones20 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN180706121
SEASEA0608014028

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:19

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:20MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 10:12SEAVince Dunn · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 14:34MINCalen Addison · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 20:00MINMathew Dumba · High stickingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 11:55SEAJustin Schultz · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 15:11SEAAndre Burakovsky · Hookingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

3rd

  • 0:21MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalMIN goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 1st 18:19 — MIN 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.14J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.13A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.10D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.06J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.00
SEA0 G · 2.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSEA
1.81 G
All situations
0 G2.0
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN46%54%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSEA
21
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
29
22
Blocked shots
5
3
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000020.02040—22:52
24M. DumbaD000010.00022—22:20
5J. MiddletonD000000.01420—19:42
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00042—19:28
36M. ZuccarelloR101+130.28200—18:35
97K. KaprizovL011+120.30100—18:19
12M. BoldyL000030.142005018:16
89F. GaudreauC000+120.051204717:56
14J. Eriksson EkC000000.040123117:36
17M. FolignoL000000.00400—16:21
4J. MerrillD011+100.00010—15:51
2C. AddisonD000+110.03112—15:20
26C. DewarC000000.13020015:10
58M. ShawC000030.3910010015:02
23M. RossiC000020.150205013:25
13S. SteelC000000.120004410:48
53A. BeckmanL000020.01100—07:52
56J. CramarossaC000000.09310007:07
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)282801.0001.98+1.9860:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).