Kraken at Wild 4-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Seattle Kraken

▸4

Minnesota Wild

FinalTV ROOT-NW, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. The Kraken led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Geekie's goal at 5:02 of the second period, which took the Kraken's chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 1.5 to 1.1; shots on goal were SEA 23, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Wennberg (2 G), 2. Adam Larsson, 3. Martin Jones (22 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

★
A. Wennberg2 G
★★
A. Larsson
★★★
M. Jones22 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
SEA	06	38	19	423
MIN	04	012	06	022

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

M. Geekie(4)
D. Sprong (4), R. Donato (2)
tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
1-0
5:02
J. Oleksiak(3)
Y. Gourde (3), J. Schultz (5)
deflectedxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
2-0
11:34
A. Wennberg(2)PPG
D. Sprong (5), O. Bjorkstrand (6)
deflectedxG 0.20win prob +8 pts
3-0
14:47

3rd period

A. Wennberg(3)
W. Borgen (2), A. Burakovsky (7)
tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
4-0
10:35

Penalties

4 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

3:46Jonas Brodin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
17:13Adam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

2nd

6:31Andre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
12:58Kirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: MIN

Biggest swing: Morgan Geekie, 2nd 5:02 — SEA 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.1 xG · 27 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 1.5 xG · 35 att MIN

0 G · 1.1 xG · 27 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.54 G
All situations: 0 G1.1; 1.23 G
Even strength: 0 G0.9; 0.31 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

60%40%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 1.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

23
Shots on goal: 22; 51%
Faceoffs: 49%; 1/2
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 4; 20
Hits: 26; 14
Blocked shots: 8; 6
Giveaways: 7; 8
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Seattle Kraken skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
29V. DunnD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	1	0	—	23:47
6A. LarssonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	3	2	—	23:20
24J. OleksiakD	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	1	3	0	—	19:25
4J. SchultzD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.02	1	0	0	—	18:48
10M. BeniersC	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	58	18:10
17J. SchwartzL	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	—	17:14
21A. WennbergC	2	0	2	+1	3	0.33	2	1	0	56	17:00
37Y. GourdeC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	2	0	0	44	16:56
7J. EberleR	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	—	15:59
3W. BorgenD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	5	1	0	—	15:41
28C. SoucyD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	0	2	0	—	15:32
13B. TanevL	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	4	0	0	—	15:30
95A. BurakovskyL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	0	0	2	—	15:00
22O. BjorkstrandR	0	1	1	+1	4	0.35	1	0	0	—	14:32
51S. WrightC	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	0	1	0	50	13:45
9R. DonatoC	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	1	0	0	0	12:00
67M. GeekieC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	2	0	0	44	11:49
91D. SprongR	0	2	2	+1	3	0.32	1	0	0	100	11:35

Seattle Kraken goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
30M. Jones(W)	22	22	0	1.000	1.13	+1.13	59:57

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Nov 34@0this game
Nov 111@0Final
Mar 271@5Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score