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Oilers at Capitals
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
4
Washington Capitals
▸5
FinalTV NBCSWA, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 14:10 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 12% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were EDM 29, WSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.0 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (2 G, 2 A), 2. Dylan Strome (2 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Gustafsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Strome2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    E. Gustafsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0926214429
WSHWSH11031417531

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:15

2nd period

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(4)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (8), E. Gustafsson (4)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    0:26
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(13)
    L. Draisaitl (17), T. Barrie (7)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    8:33
  3. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(1)PPG
    D. Strome (8), E. Gustafsson (5)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    12:25
  4. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(6)
    Z. Hyman (8)
    batxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    14:10
  5. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(8)PPG
    E. Gustafsson (6), E. Kuznetsov (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    14:36

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(8)
    Z. Hyman (9), E. Kane (8)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 pts
    3-4
    2:54
  2. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(2)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    18:09
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(7)
    D. Nurse (6), C. McDavid (14)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    4-5
    18:54

Penalties

EDM 12 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:32EDMRyan Murray · High stickingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

2nd

  • 7:52WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 7:52EDMRyan McLeod · Interferencedrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 11:55EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 12:04EDMKailer Yamamoto · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 14:31EDMCody Ceci · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 10:23WSHErik Gustafsson · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:39EDMEvan Bouchard · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalEDM goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 2nd 14:10 — EDM 12% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.47A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.23A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.21C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.18D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.17E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.15A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.13M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.12E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.12S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.11D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.07T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01L. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH5 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWSH
3.14 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.74 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
4 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
4/5
12
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC112+250.891004423:57
25D. NurseD011+200.03210—23:38
22T. BarrieD011+310.15240—22:56
29L. DraisaitlC112+340.671305821:08
5C. CeciD000+120.03102—20:47
91E. KaneL011+110.17300—19:52
18Z. HymanL022+310.07202—19:17
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC202+240.550204318:54
27B. KulakD000020.07130—17:59
2E. BouchardD000-110.08132—16:57
28R. MurrayD000+100.00112—14:55
13J. PuljujarviR000030.12300—14:06
71R. McLeodC000-110.101025013:19
10D. RyanC000-110.010103012:50
37W. FoegeleL000-110.01100—10:36
14D. ShoreC000010.0511010009:59
56K. YamamotoR000+100.00002—06:49
55D. HollowayL000010.090005006:05
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)31265.8392.95-2.0558:57

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).