Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Shaw's goal at 1:09 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were MTL 35, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (34 saves, .971), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 3. Mason Shaw (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Fleury34 saves, .971

- ★★K. Kaprizov2 G

- ★★★M. Shaw1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-11:09
0-23:29
0-314:55
3rd period
1-313:30
1-416:52
Penalties
2nd
- 2:37
Joel Armia · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
- 4:22
Juraj Slafkovský · Trippingdrawn by Steven Fogarty2 min
- 8:50
Matt Boldy · Holdingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
- 14:55
served by C. Caufield · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
3rd
- 12:11
Tyson Jost · Cross checkingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
- 18:40
Chris Wideman · Misconductdrawn by Marco Rossi10 min
- 18:40
Jake Evans · Fightingdrawn by Mason Shaw5 min
- 18:40
Mason Shaw · Fightingdrawn by Jake Evans5 min
- 18:40
Jared Spurgeon · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wideman2 min
- 18:40
Jake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min
- 18:40
Chris Wideman · Cross checkingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
- 19:28
Connor Dewar · Misconductdrawn by Arber Xhekaj10 min
- 19:28
Arber Xhekaj · Misconductdrawn by Connor Dewar10 min
- 19:28
Sean Monahan · Misconductdrawn by Connor Dewar10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mason Shaw, 2nd 1:09 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.7
- 1.60 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 3.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 62%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 45
- Penalty minutes
- 21
- 16
- Hits
- 15
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 6
- Giveaways
- 11
- 2
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 2-0
3@
1Final
1@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
